Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/04/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, May 03, 2022
Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Wednesday, May 4, 2022
Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY 
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  7 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  7 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  7 runs
 

Season Record

Atlanta Braves:  11-13 (4th place, NL East)
New York Mets:  16-8 (1st place, NL East)
 
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Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10
New York Mets:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with a 11-13 record overall and they are 5-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. They just lost their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Mets on Wednesday. This will be the 4th game of the series on Wednesday with the 2nd and 3rd games still to be played on Tuesday. Kyle Wright is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday in game 2 while Ian Anderson is on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 2-1 with a 4.66 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 3 hits in 6 IP against the Texas Rangers. They scored 10 runs in their last series averaging just over 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

New York Mets Analysis

The Mets are coming into this game with a 16-8 record overall and they are 7-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Braves on Wednesday. This will be the 4th game of the series on Wednesday night with the 2nd and 3rd games still to be played on Tuesday. Carlos Carrasco is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday in game 2 while Tylor Megill is on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 4-0 with a 1.93 ERA this season. His team won all 5 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 5 strikeouts on 0 hits in 5 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 8 runs against them averaging just under 3 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Braves vs Mets Prediction

The Mets are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. The Mets have had a great start to the season and they already feel like a whole new franchise with the way their team has been performing in their recent games. They are going up against a Braves side that is off to a slow start and has not been hitting the ball very well this season, scoring mainly with homers in their games. The Mets have a much better roster this season from top to bottom and they are just a better team than the Braves are. Megill has had a great start to the season and the Mets have won every game that he has played in so far. Anderson is coming off of a bad start and if he has another one here then he will put his team in a hole that they will not be able to get out of with how bad they have been hitting. The Mets are going to dominate this division this season and this series. The best bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
 
Braves Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, May 4, 2022 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 5 Braves 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Atlanta Braves: 153-120 (+5.2 Units) ML in all games. 78-58 (+9.5 Units) ML when the total is 7 to 8.5. 30-19 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 to +150.
New York Mets: 85-64 (-12.2 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 119-127 (-34 Units) ML in all games. 29-12 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150.
 

Key Injuries

 
Atlanta Braves:  M. Pina (C) Out indefinitely - Wrist injury. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye injury. M. Soroka (SP) Mid July - Achilles injury.
New York Mets:  S. Reid-Foley (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow J. deGrom (SP) Late May - Shoulder J. Curtiss (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We've been having a rough time here lately and we put something together, so it was good for us to get this win." - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Mets on Monday.
 
 
"We were surprised, I can tell you that. It was close to game time, but like I said, that's baseball and that's really not our decision. Just have to deal with it." - Glenn Sherlock after his team’s loss against the Braves on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Adam Duvall (R) CF
Travis Demeritte (R) LF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Mark Canha (R) LF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Eduardo Escobar (S) DH
J.D. Davis (R) 3B
Starling Marte (R) RF
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
James McCann (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Travis Demeritte (.333)
Hits:  Matt Olson (25)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (7)
RBI:  Austin Riley (14)
Stolen Bases:  Ozzie Albies (2)
Wins:  Kyle Wright (3)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (7)
ERA:  Jesse Chavez (0.00)
 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Jeff McNeil (.360)
Hits:  Jeff McNeil (27)
Home Runs:  Francisco Lindor (4)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (18)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (4)
Wins:  Tylor Megill (4)
Saves:  Edwin Diaz (4)
ERA:  Drew Smith (0.00)
 
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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