Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Game 1 Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/03/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, May 02, 2022
Game Time: 3:10 pm ET, Tuesday, May 3, 2022
Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY 
Where to Watch:  SNY

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves NL, Mets NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves NL, Mets NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves NL, Mets NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
 

Season Record

Atlanta Braves:  10-13 (4th place, NL East)
New York Mets:  16-7 (1st place, NL East)
 
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Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10
New York Mets:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with a 10-13 record overall and they are 4-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Mets on Tuesday afternoon. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Max Fried is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while Charlie Morton is on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 1-2 with a 7.00 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HRs, and 4 BB with 1 K on 4 hits in 2.1 IP against the Chicago Cubs. They scored 10 runs in their last series averaging just over 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

New York Mets Analysis

The Mets are coming into this game with a 16-7 record overall and they are 7-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Tuesday afternoon. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Chris Bassitt is the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while Carlos Carrasco will be on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 1-1 with a 4.09 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 7 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 8 hits in 3.2 IP against the St. Louis Cardinals. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 8 runs against them averaging just under 3 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Braves vs Mets Prediction

The Mets have been playing very well in their recent games and they have had a great start to the season as they have one of the best records in the MLB right now. They have been hitting the ball very well in their games but their pitching has also been very good this season and they are getting a solid starter in Carrasco on the mound here. They are going up against a Braves team that leads the MLB in the HRs right now but they do not produce many runs other than those home runs. The Mets get a lot of players on base in their games and the Braves have Morton starting here who has not pitched very well in his first few starts this season. The Mets will get a lot of hits on him here at home and they will find ways to score runs on the Braves here and win this game. The best bet in this game is on the Mets to win here.
 
Braves Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, May 3, 2022 (3:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 5 Braves 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Atlanta Braves: 152-120 (+4.2 Units) ML in all games. 74-51 (+4.6 Units) ML against division opponents. 36-25 UNDER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125.
New York Mets: 119-126 (-32.8 Units) ML in all games. 67-54 (-6.6 Units) ML in home games. 24-16 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125.
 

Key Injuries

 
Atlanta Braves:  M. Pina (C) Out indefinitely - Wrist injury. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye injury. M. Soroka (SP) Mid July - Achilles injury.
New York Mets:  S. Reid-Foley (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow J. deGrom (SP) Late May - Shoulder J. Curtiss (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Nothing seemed to go his way. I see improvement over last year." - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Rangers on Sunday.
 
 
"That's what it's about. Coming here and having your ballclub win. It's not about me. It's not about my stuff. It's about going out there and doing everything you can for the team to come out with a win. That's why tonight's a great night. Everybody had a hand in it." - Max Scherzer after their win against the Phillies on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) DH
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) LF
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Adam Duvall (R) CF
Travis Demeritte (R) RF
William Contreras (R) C
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Jeff McNeil (L) LF
Pete Alonso (R) DH
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Dominic Smith (L) 1B
Starling Marte (R) RF
Luis Guillorme (L) 2B
Tomas Nido (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Travis Demeritte (.375)
Hits:  Matt Olson (25)
Home Runs:  Ozzie Albies (6)
RBI:  Austin Riley (13)
Stolen Bases:  Ozzie Albies (2)
Wins:  Kyle Wright (3)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (6)
ERA:  Jesse Chavez (0.00)
 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Jeff McNeil (.361)
Hits:  Jeff McNeil (26)
Home Runs:  Francisco Lindor (4)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (18)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (4)
Wins:  Tylor Megill (4)
Saves:  Edwin Diaz (4)
ERA:  Drew Smith (0.00)
 
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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