Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/23/2023

Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Sunday, July 23, 2023

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Where to Watch:  BSWI

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -175, Brewers +150; Over/Under:  10 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -175, Brewers +150; Over/Under:  10 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -175, Brewers +150; Over/Under:  10 runs

Atlanta Braves:  63-33 (1st place, NL East)

Milwaukee Brewers:  54-44 (1st place, NL Central)

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Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  7-3 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off of a win but lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 63-33 record overall and have a road record of 31-14. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .830 OPS. Rookie pitcher Allan Winans is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Bryce Elder is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-2 with a 3.31 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 7 hits through 2.2 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Brewers are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-44 record overall and have a home record of 26-22. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .687 OPS. Adrian Houser is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Julio Teheran is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 2-4 with a 4.01 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 7 hits through 4.2 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have the best record in the MLB right now and they also have the best offense too while the Brewers have the lead of their division but one of the worst offenses in the MLB. The Braves haven't been great since coming back from the All-Star break but their offense has been playing a lot better lately and they do have the better pitching matchup too. The Braves will have Elder on the mound here and he has been a solid starter for them all season as he has been one of the best in their rotation, not giving up many runs in his starts lately either. Meanwhile, the Brewers have Teheran on the mound and even though he was pitching well to start the season, he hasn't been great lately as he gave up 4 runs in his last start and that has become more of a common theme for him since he has been giving up more runs in his starts lately. He is going to put the Braves on base here and the Braves hot offense will take advantage of any of the scoring opportunities they get while the Brewers haven't been great on offense and will struggle to put up runs with how good Elder has been. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game and on the runline. 

Braves Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 23, 2023 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Braves 5 Brewers 1.

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Atlanta Braves: 63-33 (+12.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 31-14 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 23-14 UNDER when the total is 10 or higher. BRYCE ELDER is 11-2 UNDER n road games. 

Milwaukee Brewers: 12-22 (-7.9 units) on the moneyline as a home underdog of +100 or higher. 118-94 (-15.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 9-3 UNDER as an underdog of +150 or more. 95-62 UNDER at home when the total is 10 or higher.

Atlanta Braves:  M. Fried (SP) Late July - Forearm. K. Wright (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. S. Hilliard (LF) Out indefinitely - Heel. K. Allard (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Minter (RP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. N. Anderson (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. E. Adrianza (2B) Late July - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Late July - Shin. D. Lee (SP) Late July - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  W. Miley (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. R. Tellez (1B) Mid Aug - Forearm. B. Anderson (1B) Early Aug - Back. J. Wilson (RP) Late July - Elbow. B. Sousa (SP) Late July - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder.

“Since I’ve been up here, I go through that little stretch where things go really well. I felt like this whole season I’ve been fighting to get to that. I feel comfortable right now.” - Austin Riley after their win against the Brewers in their game on Friday.

“We gave ourselves a chance. Perk had a heck of an at-bat, missed a ball (foul) by four or five feet.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Friday.

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Sean Murphy (R) C

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Christian Yelich (L) LF

William Contreras (R) C

Willy Adames (R) SS

Jesse Winker (L) DH

Victor Caratini (S) 1B

Andruw Monasterio (R) 3B

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Blake Perkins (S) RF

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Batting Average:  Charlie Culberson (1.000)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (127)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (32)

RBI:  Matt Olson (80)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (44)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (11)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (17)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (102)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (17)

RBI:  Christian Yelich (54)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (21)

Wins:  Corbin Burnes (9)

Saves:  Devin Williams (24)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)