Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/22/2023

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 22, 2023

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -140, Brewers +120; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -140, Brewers +120; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -140, Brewers +120; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  62-33 (1st place, NL East)

Milwaukee Brewers:  54-43 (1st place, NL Central)

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Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  8-2 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off of a win but lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 62-33 record overall and have a road record of 30-14. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .832 OPS. Michael Soroka is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Allan Winans is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. He has never played a game in the MLB before and will be making his MLB debut in this game.

The Brewers are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-43 record overall and have a home record of 26-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .687 OPS. Freddy Peralta is their starting pitcher on Friday while Adrian Houser is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-2 with a 3.79 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have been playing really well lately as they are now in 1st place of the NL Central and will be looking to keep their lead. The Braves have the best record and the best offense in the MLB right now but they haven't been playing great since coming back from the All-Star break and the Brewers will be able to take advantage of that since they have been pitching really well lately. The Brewers have Houser starting in this game and he has been good all season, not giving up many runs in a lot of his starts. He has also been better in his home starts and has a solid bullpen to back him up with the way they have been pitching lately. The Braves are going with Winans in this game and not only is he a rookie but this will also be his MLB debut. The Brewers haven't had a great offense this season so this is a soft landing spot for him but the Brewers have been starting to hit the ball a lot better in their games lately and they will be looking to get after the Braves here since the Braves haven't been at their best. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Braves Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 22, 2023 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Brewers 4 Braves 1.

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Atlanta Braves: 62-33 (+11.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 30-14 (+10.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 15-4 (+9.2 units) on the moneyline as a road favorite of -125 to -175. 

Milwaukee Brewers: 45-46 (-13.4 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 118-93 (-14.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 21-8 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. 28-15 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher.

Atlanta Braves:  M. Fried (SP) Late July - Forearm. K. Wright (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. S. Hilliard (LF) Out indefinitely - Heel. K. Allard (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Minter (RP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. N. Anderson (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. E. Adrianza (2B) Late July - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Late July - Shin. D. Lee (SP) Late July - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  W. Miley (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. R. Tellez (1B) Mid Aug - Forearm. B. Anderson (1B) Early Aug - Back. J. Wilson (RP) Late July - Elbow. B. Sousa (SP) Late July - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder.

“I feel like all year I’ve been fighting myself, trying to get comfortable up there. I felt like I would get comfortable for four or five days and then it was back to square one. I told myself just to go out there and have fun and slow the game as much as possible. Hopefully, that’s going to allow me to keep this thing going." - Austin Riley after their win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Thursday.

“He has set a pretty high standard with some good roll, but he's pitching really well right now.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Thursday.

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Christian Yelich (L) LF

William Contreras (R) DH

Willy Adames (R) SS

Owen Miller (R) 1B

Victor Caratini (S) C

Raimel Tapia (L) RF

Andruw Monasterio (R) 3B

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Blake Perkins (S) CF

Batting Average:  Charlie Culberson (1.000)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (127)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (32)

RBI:  Matt Olson (80)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (44)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (11)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (17)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (101)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (16)

RBI:  Christian Yelich (54)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (21)

Wins:  Corbin Burnes (9)

Saves:  Devin Williams (24)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)