Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/22/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, May 21, 2022
Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, May 22, 2022
Venue:  LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
Where to Watch:  BSFL

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -115, Marlins -105; Over/Under:  7 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -115, Marlins -105; Over/Under:  7 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -115, Marlins -105; Over/Under:  7 runs
 

Season Record

Atlanta Braves:  18-21 (3rd place, NL East)
Miami Marlins:  17-21 (4th place, NL East)
 
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Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10
Miami Marlins:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with an 18-21 record overall and they are 8-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Kyle Wright is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Ian Anderson is on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 3-2 with a 3.75 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 4 hits in 6 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers. They scored 9 runs in their last series averaging 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 8 runs against them averaging just under 3 runs allowed per game.
 

Miami Marlins Analysis

The Marlins are coming into this game with a 17-21 record overall and they are 9-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game losing streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Elieser Hernández is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Sandy Alcantara will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 3-2 with a 2.49 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 3 hits in 8 innings played against the Washington Nationals. They scored 17 runs in their last series averaging just under 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 8 runs against them averaging just under 3 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Braves vs Marlins Prediction

The Marlins are coming into this game as a slight underdog with the current betting odds. They have not been playing well over the last few weeks but have been much better in their recent games as they are starting to win more games. They have not won a game against the Braves in this series but they have been playing well at home and have been keeping their games close with them. The Marlins have one of their best pitchers starting in this game in Alcantara and he will likely pitch a very good game that will keep the Braves from scoring a lot and keep this game within reach for the Marlins. The Braves have been a very inconsistent team this season, they have been playing much better recently compared to their start to the season but they have Anderson starting on the mound here. Anderson started the season off pitching very well but he has started to collapse in his recent starts and the Marlins are bound to get to him here at home to win a game. The best bet here is on the Marlins to win this game.
 
Braves Marlins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, May 22, 2022 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Marlins 6 Braves 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Atlanta Braves: 72-48 (+12.7 Units) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 74-63 (+8.2 Units) ML in road games. 12-4 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150.
Miami Marlins: 117-148 (-11.2 Units) ML in all games. 22-35 (-12.2 Units) ML when the total is 7 or less. 13-7 OVER in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Atlanta Braves:  M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye. K. Yates (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow.
Miami Marlins:  J. Berti (3B) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Luzardo (SP) Early June - Forearm. J. Wendle (2B) Early June - Hamstring.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We're going to keep him off this turf. If this had been a natural grass (surface), he'd be playing the outfield." - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Marlins on Friday. 
 
 
"You'd like to get them across. Sometimes, you're going to get a bunch across. Sometimes, it's kind of hard to get any — maybe you get one or two." - Don Mattingly after his team’s loss against the Braves on Friday. 
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) DH
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) LF
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Adam Duvall (R) CF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Travis Demeritte (R) RF
 
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B
Jesus Aguilar (R) 1B
Jorge Soler (R) DH
Avisail Garcia (R) RF
Brian Anderson (R) 3B
Jesus Sanchez (L) CF
Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF
Jacob Stallings (R) C
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Orlando Arcia (.316)
Hits:  Matt Olson (36)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (8)
RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (19)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (7)
Wins:  Max Fried (4)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (9)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Miami Marlins
Batting Average:  Joe Dunand (.500)
Hits:  Jesus Aguilar (37)
Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (8)
RBI:  Jazz Chisholm (27)
Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (6)
Wins:  Pablo Lopez (4)
Saves:  Anthony Bender (6)
ERA:  Daniel Castano (0.00)
 
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)
Miami Marlins: Don Mattingly (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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