Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/21/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, May 20, 2022
Game Time: 6:10 pm ET, Saturday, May 21, 2022
Venue:  LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
Where to Watch:  BSFL

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -150, Marlins +130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -150, Marlins +130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -150, Marlins +130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Atlanta Braves:  17-21 (4th place, NL East)
Miami Marlins:  17-20 (3rd place, NL East)
 
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Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10
Miami Marlins:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with a 17-21 record overall and they are 7-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Charlie Morton is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Kyle Wright is on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 3-2 with a 2.79 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 9 Ks on 3 hits in 6.1 IP against the San Diego Padres. They scored 9 runs in their last series averaging 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 8 runs against them averaging just under 3 runs allowed per game.
 

Miami Marlins Analysis

The Marlins are coming into this game with a 17-20 record overall and they are 9-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Trevor Rogers is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Elieser Hernández will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 2-3 with a 6.15 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 3 BB with 2 strikeouts on 3 hits in 4 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers. They scored 17 runs in their last series averaging just under 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 8 runs against them averaging just under 3 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Braves vs Marlins Prediction

The Braves are coming into this game as a favorite with the current betting odds. The Braves were starting to heat up in their games but they just lost their last 2 series and lost a lot of their steam. They still played well in those games though and have been hitting the ball well recently as their offense is starting to wake up after a slow start to the season. They are going up against a Marlins side that has not been playing well recently either, winning their last series but they had lost a few straight prior to their last series. The Braves also have Wright starting here and he has been having a very good season so far. He is also pitching a lot better than Hernandez for the Marlins who have been very inconsistent this season. The Braves have been hitting well recently and they will likely score runs on Hernandez here with the way he has been pitching this season. The best bet here is on the Braves to win this game.
 
Braves Marlins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 21, 2022 (6:10 pm ET start time) is Braves 4 Marlins 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Atlanta Braves: 71-48 (+11.7 Units) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 73-63 (+7.2 Units) ML in road games. 15-6 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher.
Miami Marlins: 117-147 (-10.2 Units) ML in all games. 68-111 (-11.7 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 12-7 OVER in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Atlanta Braves:  M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye. K. Yates (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow.
Miami Marlins:  J. Berti (3B) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Soler (RF) Ques Fri - Back. J. Wendle (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It's hard when you're the road team. You've got to score multiple runs, I think, in extra innings to make things hold up because it's an impossible situation with the runner on second and nobody out." - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Brewers on Wednesday.
 
 
"I'm still feeling pretty bad right now, got the shivers all day and still feeling them now. Earlier today, I was just resting all day and when I got to the field, they asked me if I could still play. I felt like I could just play through it, like I could flip the switch when I needed to do it." - Jazz Chisholm after their loss against the Nationals on Wednesday. 
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Adam Duvall (R) CF
Travis Demeritte (R) LF
 
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B
Jesus Aguilar (R) DH
Garrett Cooper (R) 1B
Avisail Garcia (R) RF
Brian Anderson (R) LF
Jesus Sanchez (L) CF
Jacob Stallings (R) C
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Erik Gonzalez (R) 3B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Orlando Arcia (.316)
Hits:  Matt Olson (36)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (8)
RBI:  Austin Riley (18)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (6)
Wins:  Max Fried (4)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (9)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Miami Marlins
Batting Average:  Joe Dunand (.500)
Hits:  Jazz Chisholm (35)
Home Runs:  Jazz Chisholm (7)
RBI:  Jazz Chisholm (27)
Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (6)
Wins:  Pablo Lopez (4)
Saves:  Anthony Bender (6)
ERA:  Daniel Castano (0.00)
 
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)
Miami Marlins: Don Mattingly (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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