Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/25/2023

Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, June 25, 2023

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Where to Watch:  BSOH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -190, Reds +160; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -190, Reds +160; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -190, Reds +160; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  48-27 (1st place, NL East)

Cincinnati Reds:  41-35 (1st place, NL Central)

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Atlanta Braves:  8-2 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  10-0 last 10

The Braves are entering this game off of a loss in their last game but completed the sweep 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-27 record overall and have a road record of 24-12. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Reds on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .820 OPS. Rookie pitcher Jared Shuster is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Charlie Morton is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-6 with a 3.71 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 8 Ks on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Reds are entering this game on a 12 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-35 record overall and have a home record of 21-18. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .743 OPS. Graham Ashcraft is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Ben Lively is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 4-4 with a 4.11 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 4 BB with 4 strikeouts on 3 hits through 4 innings played against the Colorado Rockies.

The current betting odds have the Reds listed as a big underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Reds have been on a surge lately as they now lead the NL Central with the best record and have the longest active winning streak in the MLB too at 12 games in a row. Their offense has been really hot in these games lately and even carried them to an 11-10 win over the Braves in this series opener which snapped a long winning streak that the Braves were on. The pitching hasn't been great for either side lately as both are dealing with injuries to key starters and have been forced to try out some new arms who have been giving up a ton of runs in these games. The Braves will have a much sturdier face on the mound here with Morton but even he hasn't been great this season since he has been giving up a lot of runs in his starts and hasn't been good at all in his road starts either. The Reds are going with Lively here and he hasn't been any better in his starts but he only gave up 2 runs in his last start and will have a good outing at home here. The Braves are a very good team with a great offense but the Reds are playing just as well if not better and it is hard to stand in front of a team when they are playing the way the Reds have been playing lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Reds to win this game.

Braves Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 25, 2023 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Reds 9 Braves 6.

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Atlanta Braves: 48-27 (+8.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 42-21 (+7.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 37-23 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher. CHARLIE MORTON is 25-12 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175.

Cincinnati Reds: 186-214 (-11.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 98-103 (-11.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 13-7 OVER when the total is 10 or higher. 11-6 OVER against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves:  S. Murphy (C) Out Sat - Hamstring. K. Allard (SP) Early July - Oblique. K. Wright (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Early July - Shin. M. Fried (SP) Mid July - Forearm. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Cincinnati Reds:  T. Santillan (SP) Early July - Back. J. Dunn (SP) Early July - Shoulder. R. Sanmartin (SP) Early July - Elbow. G. Ashcraft (SP) Prob Sat - Calf. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Greene (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. Law (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. V. Gutierrez (SP) Mid July - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

“It was … wow. Both teams are banging the ball all over the place. I don’t ever come in here feeling any lead is safe, and when we were down, I kind of still had a good feeling with a couple of at-bats left. Things are going good for them. They’re playing extremely well. We couldn’t put up a couple of zeros in the middle.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Reds in their game on Friday.

“I think this might be the best regular-season game that I’ve been a part of. I think a lot had to do with the atmosphere in the ballpark. Both teams played a great game. They came up short, but it showed the kind of team they are. It took a lot of great performances to win that game.” - David Bell after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Friday.

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Matt McLain (R) SS

Jonathan India (R) 2B

Elly De La Cruz (S) 3B

Jake Fraley (L) RF

Joey Votto (L) 1B

Spencer Steer (R) LF

Tyler Stephenson (R) DH

Luke Maile (R) C

Batting Average:  Orlando Arcia (.330)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (100)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (23)

RBI:  Matt Olson (55)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (33)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (8)

Saves:  A.J. Minter (10)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Elly De La Cruz (.361)

Hits:  Jonathan India (77)

Home Runs:  Jonathan India (10)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (46)

Stolen Bases:  Jake Fraley (12)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (21)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)