Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/24/2023

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 24, 2023

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Where to Watch:  BSOH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -135, Reds +115; Over/Under:  12 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -130, Reds +110; Over/Under:  12 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -140, Reds +115; Over/Under:  11.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  48-26 (1st place, NL East)

Cincinnati Reds:  40-35 (1st place, NL Central)

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Atlanta Braves:  8-2 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  10-0 last 10

The Braves are entering this game on an 8 game winning streak and completed the sweep 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-26 record overall and have a road record of 24-11. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .814 OPS. Rookie pitcher AJ Smith-Shawver is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Jared Shuster is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-2 with a 4.57 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 2 Ks on 5 hits through 5.2 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Reds are entering this game on an 11 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-35 record overall and have a home record of 20-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .738 OPS. Luke Weaver is their starting pitcher on Friday while Graham Ashcraft is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-5 with a 6.78 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 1 strikeout on 3 hits through 2.2 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have been rolling lately but so have the Reds as both of these teams are playing very well right now. The Braves do have the advantage with their offense though as they have one of the best offenses in the league. It is going to take a hot team like the Braves with a really good offense to snap this long winning streak that the Reds have been on and their bats should have an easier time in this game too since Ashcraft is coming back from injury to pitch in this game. This is his 1st start in a few weeks but he already hasn't been pitching great this season as he has given up quite a few runs in a lot of his starts. The Braves lineup is definitely going to get after him here with the way they have been hitting lately. Shuster is up for the Braves and he hasn't been great this season but he was a lot better in his last start and hasn't been giving up a ton of runs in his few starts this year. The Braves are going to be looking to snap this big win streak that the Reds are on so look for the Braves offense to go off in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.

Braves Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 24, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Braves 8 Reds 6.

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Atlanta Braves: 48-27 (+8.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 42-21 (+7.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 14-8 OVER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs. 37-23 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher.

Cincinnati Reds: 186-214 (-11.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 98-103 (-11.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 13-7 OVER when the total is 10 or higher. 11-6 OVER against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves:  K. Allard (SP) Early July - Oblique. K. Wright (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Early July - Shin. M. Fried (SP) Mid July - Forearm. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Cincinnati Reds:  T. Santillan (SP) Early July - Back. J. Dunn (SP) Early July - Shoulder. R. Sanmartin (SP) Early July - Elbow. G. Ashcraft (SP) Early July - Calf. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Greene (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. Law (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. V. Gutierrez (SP) Mid July - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

“What he's done as a body of work, he should definitely get an All-Star nod. I don't think it's a mistake what he's doing well. His stuff is that good.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Thursday.

“It is very inspiring to be around. It is happening in the clubhouse. It’s happening on the field, and what’s happening in the ballpark, our fans, it’s seeing them enjoy the game. It means a lot to us.” - David Bell after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Wednesday.

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Spencer Steer (R) 3B

Jonathan India (R) 2B

Elly De La Cruz (S) SS

Jake Fraley (L) RF

Joey Votto (L) 1B

Tyler Stephenson (R) DH

Will Benson (L) LF

Luke Maile (R) C

Batting Average:  Orlando Arcia (.333)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (97)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (21)

RBI:  Ozzie Albies (53)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (32)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (8)

Saves:  A.J. Minter (10)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Elly De La Cruz (.321)

Hits:  Jonathan India (76)

Home Runs:  Jonathan India (10)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (44)

Stolen Bases:  Jake Fraley (12)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (20)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)