Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/26/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 26, 2023

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -165, Red Sox +140; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -165, Red Sox +140; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -165, Red Sox +140; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  64-34 (1st place, NL East)

Boston Red Sox:  53-47 (5th place, AL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  6-4 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 64-34 record overall and have a road record of 32-15. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .827 OPS. Charlie Morton is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Spencer Strider is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 11-3 with a 3.78 ERA this season. His team won 9 of their last 10 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 13 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Red Sox are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-47 record overall and have a home record of 28-23. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .768 OPS. Nick Pivetta is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Brayan Bello is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-6 with a 3.60 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 3 homers, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 4 innings played against the Oakland Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have the best record and the best offense in the MLB right now, they have been up and down since coming out of the All-Star break but they are starting to win games more consistently again and are a very tough team to stop when their bats are hot. The Red Sox are above .500 this season but they have been struggling to get out of the bottom of the division lately, they do have a good offense that is one of the best in the league but their pitching has been terrible all season and they will get into trouble here with the best offense in baseball coming into town. The Braves also have Strider making his return from injury in this game but he has been lights out all year in his starts and will be looking to get right back in his groove with a good start here. The Red Sox are going with Bello in this game and he has been pretty good this season but lately he has been falling apart as he is giving up a lot more runs and even gave up 6 runs in his last start too. He will get himself into trouble against this really strong offense and the Braves will also have some better pitching here too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.

Braves Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 26, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Braves 5 Red Sox 2.

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Atlanta Braves: 64-34 (+11.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 57-27 (+11.3 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. SPENCER STRIDER is 11-3 OVER as a favorite of -150 or more and 14-6 OVER in all games.

Boston Red Sox: 15-20 (-7.6 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 154-148 (-6.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 24-16 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Atlanta Braves:  J. Chavez (RP) Out indefinitely - Shin. E. Adrianza (2B) Early Aug - Shoulder. M. Fried (SP) Early Aug - Forearm. D. Lee (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. S. Hilliard (LF) Out indefinitely - Heel. K. Allard (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Minter (RP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. N. Anderson (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Boston Red Sox:  C. Arroyo (3B) Ques Tues - Thumb. T. Story (2B) Early Aug - Elbow. J. Schreiber (RP) Early Aug - Back. R. McGuire (C) Early Aug - Oblique. C. Kluber (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. P. Reyes (3B) Prob Tues - Abdominal. G. Whitlock (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. B. Bello (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. C. Sale (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. K. Ort (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. W. Mills (RP) out for season - Elbow. T. Houck (SP) Out indefinitely - Face. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“He's got a slow heartbeat in him. He doesn't panic or anything.” - Brian Snitker on Ozzie Albies after his team’s win against the Brewers in their game on Sunday.

“We put the ball in play and had some quality at-bats.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Sunday.

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Jarren Duran (L) CF

Masataka Yoshida (L) LF

Justin Turner (R) DH

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Adam Duvall (R) RF

Triston Casas (L) 1B

Connor Wong (R) C

Enrique Hernandez (R) 2B

Yu Chang (R) SS

Batting Average:  Charlie Culberson (1.000)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (131)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (32)

RBI:  Matt Olson (80)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (46)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (11)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (18)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jarren Duran (.317)

Hits:  Masataka Yoshida (107)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (24)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (74)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (19)

Wins:  Brayan Bello (7)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (21)

ERA:  Chris Martin (1.45)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)