Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/04/2024

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, June 4, 2024

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  NESN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -170, Red Sox +142; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -170, Red Sox +145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -175, Red Sox +145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  33-24 (2nd place, NL East)

Boston Red Sox:  30-30 (3rd place, AL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-24 record overall and have a road record of 14-12. This is the series opener of a 2-game series with the Red Sox on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .725 OPS. Charlie Morton was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Max Fried is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-2 with a 2.97 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 7 hits through 8 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Red Sox are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-30 record overall and have a home record of 13-17. This is the 1st game of a 2-game series with the Braves on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .715 OPS. Brayan Bello was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Kutter Crawford is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-4 with a 3.29 ERA this season. His team lost their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 33-24 record overall which has them fighting with the Phillies to win the NL East this year. The Braves are quite a few games behind in the standings since the Phillies have looked great this year and the Braves just went through a rough patch of their own, but they are coming off a series win and will have some momentum in this series. The Braves also have a winning road record this season while the Red Sox have a losing home record. The Red Sox haven't looked great in their games as they have a 13-17 home record this season and they have struggled with their 30-30 record overall too. The Red Sox are going to have a solid starter on the mound in this game with Crawford starting, but he is coming off a bad start in his last one as he gave up 5 earned runs so he isn't at his best right now coming into this game. Meanwhile, the Braves have Fried on the mound in this game and he not only has a better ERA with more wins on the season, but he is also coming off a good start in his last one so he will be looking to continue that here. The Braves have the edge with the starting matchup but they also have the better offense and have been playing better in their games lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game and on the runline.

Braves Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 4, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Braves 6 Red Sox 3.

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Atlanta Braves: 240-149 (+12.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 218-113 (+25.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 149-94 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline after a win. 35-20 UNDER in all games. 23-11 UNDER as a favorite of -150 or more. 15-8 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Boston Red Sox: 186-198 (-22.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 95-97 (-18.9 units) on the moneyline in home games. 79-112 (-11.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 5-0 UNDER against NL East opponents. 10-5 UNDER against left-handed starters. 9-5 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive home games.

Atlanta Braves:  A. Minter (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. A. Smith-Shawver (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. T. Matzek (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Boston Red Sox:  W. Abreu (CF) Ques Tues - Ankle. G. Whitlock (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. R. Gonzalez (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. V. Grissom (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. O'Neill (RF) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Yoshida (LF) Out indefinitely - Hand. T. Casas (3B) Out indefinitely - Ribs. T. Story (2B) out for season - Shoulder. I. Campbell (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Hendriks (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Mata (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Murphy (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Giolito (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“I look at it individually and see some positives offensively with guys, which is what we’ve been trying to do. We’ve been playing good baseball. We just haven’t hit, but I see a light at the end of the tunnel for a bunch of guys.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Athletics in their game on Sunday.

“There were some matchups we liked but others we didn't, but that's where we were in the bullpen. One pitch away from getting out of it. ... A pitch to Javey, down in the zone and he put a good swing on it and then they kept going.” - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the Tigers in their game on Sunday.

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Adam Duvall (R) RF

Jarred Kelenic (L) LF

Sean Murphy (R) C

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Jarren Duran (L) LF

Wilyer Abreu (L) RF

Dominic Smith (L) 1B

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Enmanuel Valdez (L) 2B

Garrett Cooper (R) DH

Reese McGuire (L) C

Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF

David Hamilton (L) SS

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.313)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (66)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (17)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (53)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (8)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (15)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Batting Average:  Rob Refsnyder (.337)

Hits:  Jarren Duran (64)

Home Runs:  Tyler O'Neill (11)

RBI:  Ceddanne Rafaela (33)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (11)

Wins:  Brayan Bello (6)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (9)

ERA:  Pablo Reyes (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)