Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/27/2026

Game Time: 6:45 pm ET, Wednesday, May 27, 2026

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA 

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -131, Red Sox +109; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -130, Red Sox +110; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -130, Red Sox +110; Over/Under:  8 runs

Atlanta Braves:  36-18 (1st place, NL East)

Boston Red Sox:  22-30 (5th place, AL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-18 record overall and have a road record of 19-8. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .755 OPS. Spencer Strider is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Bryce Elder is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-2 with a 1.97 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 4 SO on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Red Sox are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 22-30 record overall and have a home record of 8-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .683 OPS. Ranger Suárez is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Connelly Early is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-2 with a 3.33 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 walk with 5 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6.1 innings pitched against the Kansas City Royals.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked great in their games this season with their 36-18 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with the best record in MLB. They have been a great road team too with their 19-8 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Red Sox haven't looked good in their games this season with their 22-30 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AL East. They have looked terrible in their own ballpark too with their 8-17 home record this season. The Red Sox had a terrible start to the season, even firing their manager, and they still haven't recovered from it. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games and look like one of the worst teams in MLB while the Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 games and continue to roll with the best record in the league. The Braves also have one of the best offenses in the league and they are going to be able to take advantage of this better pitching matchup. Elder is on the mound for the Braves in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 4-2 with a 1.97 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs at all. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start which has been a common theme for him and the team has been having a ton of success with him too, winning 3 of their last 4 games with him starting. Early is on the mound for the Red Sox in this one and he hasn't looked bad this year. He is 4-2 with a 3.33 ERA and the team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he still hasn't been a steady option. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start and that is going to be an issue with the way the Braves have been pitching. The Red Sox don't have a great offense this year either, so the Braves are going to have a big edge in both of those areas. The Braves will also be looking to bounce back after taking a series loss to the Nationals in their last one, so look for the Braves to take advantage of this pitching matchup with the much better offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Braves Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, May 27, 2026 (6:45 pm ET start time) is Braves 5 Red Sox 2.

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Atlanta Braves: 49-33 (+6.8 units) on the moneyline on the road with a money line of -100 to -150. 69-42 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 25-15 (+5.5 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better. 102-69 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record.

Boston Red Sox: 192-186 (-15.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 93-93 (-25.3 units) on the moneyline in home games. 18-25 (-7.6 units) on the moneyline when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%). 24-16 UNDER against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves:  H. Waldrep (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. D. Baldwin (C) Ten Day IL - Oblique. K. Farmer (DH) Ten Day IL - Forearm. S. Murphy (C) Ten Day IL - Finger. D. Young (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Smith-Shawver (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Wentz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. S. Schwellenbach (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee.

Boston Red Sox:  T. Story (SS) Ten Day IL - Groin. K. Crawford (SP) Sixty Day IL - Wrist. R. Anthony (LF) Ten Day IL - Wrist. P. Sandoval (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Crochet (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. T. Casas (1B) Sixty Day IL - Knee. J. Oviedo (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Gonzalez (1B) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Houck (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“It’s tough to figure out sometimes when we were playing so well offensively. The tough thing is, we pitched well enough to win the series. We really did. We had a hard time putting any together. I liked the way we pitched.” - Walt Weiss on his team’s series loss against the Nationals over the weekend. 

“A lot of lefties in the bullpen and we have an optionable lefty. That’s part of the equation.” - Chad Tracy on Tyler Samaniego getting optioned.

Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) DH

Mauricio Dubón (R) LF

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Eli White (R) RF

Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS

Sandy León (S) C

Jarren Duran (L) LF

Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF

Wilyer Abreu (L) RF

Willson Contreras (R) 1B

Masataka Yoshida (L) DH

Nick Sogard (S) 2B

Carlos Narváez (R) C

Marcelo Mayer (L) SS

Caleb Durbin (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Chadwick Tromp (.364)

Hits:  Drake Baldwin (57)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (14)

RBI:  Matt Olson (42)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (7)

Wins:  Chris Sale (7)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (8)

ERA:  Raisel Iglesias (0.00)

Batting Average:  Mickey Gasper (.324)

Hits:  Wilyer Abreu (58)

Home Runs:  Willson Contreras (11)

RBI:  Willson Contreras (33)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (10)

Wins:  Sonny Gray (5)

Saves:  Aroldis Chapman (12)

ERA:  Eduardo Rivera (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Walt Weiss (1st season)

Boston Red Sox: Chad Tracy (Interim)