Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/24/2026

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jul 23, 2026
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, July 24, 2026
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MLB TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -101, Orioles -120; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +100, Orioles -120; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +100, Orioles -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Atlanta Braves:  60-42 (1st place, NL East)
Baltimore Orioles:  50-53 (4th place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  8-2 last 10



Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis


The Braves are entering this series off a win and won their 4-game series against the San Diego Padres 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-42 record overall and have a road record of 28-22. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .736 OPS. Chris Sale was their starting pitcher on Thursday while Grant Holmes is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-4 with a 3.70 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 2 SO on 7 hits through 5 IP against the Texas Rangers.

The Orioles are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-53 record overall and have a home record of 28-25. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .720 OPS. Kyle Bradish was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Trevor Rogers is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-7 with a 4.28 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 walk with 8 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6.1 innings pitched against the Houston Astros.


Braves vs Orioles Prediction

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles haven't looked good in their games this season with their 50-53 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AL East. They have looked a lot better in their own ballpark though with their 28-25 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Braves have looked great in their games this season with their 60-42 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with one of the best records in MLB. They have been a good road team too with their 28-22 road record this year. The Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 games and have looked a lot better lately after going through a slump over the last month, but the Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 games and have still been the hotter team lately, working their way back into the AL Wild Card race. Rogers is on the mound for the Orioles in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 6-7 with a 4.28 ERA, but lately he has looked a lot better. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start which has been becoming a common theme lately and the team has been having a ton of success with him too, winning 5 games in a row now with him starting. The Braves are going with Holmes in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 6-4 with a 3.70 ERA and the team has been having a lot of success with him this year. They have won 3 games in a row now with him starting, but he did give up 3 earned runs in his last start and has been giving up more runs in his starts lately. The Orioles just lost their last series to the Red Sox, but they have still been red hot lately and will be looking to bounce back at home where they have been a better team this year. Rogers has also been the better starter over the last few weeks, so look for the Orioles to take advantage of that against a Braves team that has been really up and down for weeks. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game. 

Braves Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 24, 2026 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 6 Braves 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


Atlanta Braves: 22-21 (-5 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 224-203 (-45.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 108-106 (-18 units) on the moneyline in road games. 11-6 OVER on the road against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles: 48-49 (+6.6 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%). 17-9 (+12.9 units) on the moneyline vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season. 40-28 (+8.1 units) on the moneyline vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start. 8-4 OVER at home vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season.

Key Injuries


Atlanta Braves:  H. Kim (SS) Ten Day IL - Finger. R. Suarez (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. S. Murphy (C) Sixty Day IL - Finger. A. Smith-Shawver (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Wentz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. S. Schwellenbach (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  T. O'Neill (RF) Day To Day - Undisclosed. S. Basallo (C) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. A. Rutschman (C) Ten Day IL - Wrist. B. Alexander (3B) Ten Day IL - Hand. K. Akin (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Helsley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Bassitt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. R. Mountcastle (1B) Sixty Day IL - Foot. Z. Eflin (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Westburg (3B) Sixty Day IL - UCL. F. Bautista (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Selby (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“There's a lot to like there from what we've seen. He’s shown a knack for just knowing how to play the game.” - Walt Weiss on Jim Jarvis after his team’s win against the Padres in their game on Wednesday. 


“We all know who K.B. is and what he's capable of. It was just great to see him go out there and kind of be that stopper for us. And he did a great job of pounding the strike zone. Fastball shapes were great. Breaking balls were outstanding and he did a great job getting us through six.” - Craig Albernaz on Kyle Bradish after his team’s win against the Red Sox in game 2 of their double-header on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Atlanta Braves
Drake Baldwin (L) C
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Mauricio Dubón (R) LF
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Dominic Smith (L) DH
Mike Yastrzemski (L) RF
Jim Jarvis (L) SS

Baltimore Orioles
Taylor Ward (R) LF
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Gunnar Henderson (L) SS
Tyler O'Neill (R) RF
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) 3B
Dylan Beavers (L) CF
Johnathan Rodríguez (R) DH
Jackson Holliday (L) 2B
Chadwick Tromp (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Jair Camargo (.500)
Hits:  Michael Harris (109)
Home Runs:  Matt Olson (26)
RBI:  Michael Harris (61)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (15)
Wins:  Chris Sale (10)
Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (20)
ERA:  Hunter Stratton (0.00)

Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Christian Encarnacion-Strand (.375)
Hits:  Pete Alonso (95)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (21)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (66)
Stolen Bases:  Leody Taveras (10)
Wins:  Brandon Young (8)
Saves:  Ryan Helsley (8)
ERA:  Jose Espada (0.00)

Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Walt Weiss (1st season)
Baltimore Orioles: Craig Albernaz (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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