Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/13/2024

Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Thursday, June 13, 2024

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD 

Where to Watch:  BSSO

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  35-29 (2nd place, NL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  44-22 (2nd place, AL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and lost their 4-game series against the Washington Nationals 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-29 record overall and have a road record of 16-17. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Braves lost the series opener of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Rookie pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Reynaldo López is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 3-2 with a 1.85 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Orioles are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 4-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 4-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 44-22 record overall and have a home record of 22-12. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Orioles won the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .760 OPS. Rookie pitcher Cade Povich is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Cole Irvin is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 6-2 with a 2.87 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 6 strikeouts on 8 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have looked great in their games this season with their 44-22 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East, trailing close behind the Yankees in 1st place. They have also looked great in their own ballpark with their 22-12 home record. Meanwhile, the Braves have looked good in their games with their 35-29 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East, but that record still has them well out of the division race with the Phillies. This isn't the same Braves team that has been so good over the last few years and they haven't even looked good in their road games either with their 16-17 road record. They are going to have a really solid starter on the mound here with Lopez who is 3-2 with a 1.85 ERA, but the Braves as a whole have been dealing with a lot of injuries this year and they just haven't looked right this season. It won't help that the Orioles have their own solid starter in this game with Irvin who is 6-2 with a 2.87 ERA this season. Irvin hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts all season, giving up just 2 earned runs in his last start, and he also has the better offense to help him out in this game. These two teams are headed in opposite directions right now and even with the slightly better starter in this game, the Orioles still have the edge at home with their bullpen and their much better offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Braves Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 13, 2024 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 4 Braves 2.

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Atlanta Braves: 35-29 (-10.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 16-17 (-7.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. 18-30 (-10.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 8-2 UNDER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 17-3 UNDER in an inter-league game. 24-13 UNDER when the total is 7 to 8.5.

Baltimore Orioles: 44-22 (+12.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 116-82 (+23.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 24-12 (+8 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 15-7 UNDER against NL East opponents. COLE IRVIN is 23-12 UNDER as a favorite of -110 or higher and 11-5 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Atlanta Braves:  R. Acuna Jr. (RF) out for season - Lower Body. J. Herget (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Smith-Shawver (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. A. Minter (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. T. Matzek (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  K. Stowers (LF) Que Wed - Wrist. J. Means (SP) out for season - Forearm. J. Mateo (SS) Out indefinitely - Head. D. Kremer (SP) Mid June - Tricep. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“He hit it the right spot. We hit our three-pointer in the wrong spot. When you're going like we are, that's what happens.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Tuesday.

“I thought the wind was blowing out, based off what I had checked, but it seemed like that ball kind of died. I was just trying to get back to the wall and find it, and sure enough I still had some room. I'm glad whatever was going on with the wind held it in a little bit." - Austin Hays after their win against the Braves in their game on Tuesday.

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Adam Duvall (R) RF

Jarred Kelenic (L) LF

Sean Murphy (R) C

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

Adley Rutschman (S) DH

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Austin Hays (R) LF

Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Ramón Urías (R) 3B

James McCann (R) C

Colton Cowser (L) CF

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.316)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (75)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (18)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (55)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (8)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (16)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (78)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (21)

RBI:  Adley Rutschman (49)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (13)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (7)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (15)

ERA:  Nick Vespi (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)