Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/11/2024

Game Time: 6:35 pm ET, Tuesday, June 11, 2024

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD 

Where to Watch:  BSSO

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -135, Orioles +115; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -135, Orioles +115; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -135, Orioles +115; Over/Under:  8 runs

Atlanta Braves:  35-28 (2nd place, NL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  42-22 (2nd place, AL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and lost their 4-game series against the Washington Nationals 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-28 record overall and have a road record of 16-16. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .711 OPS. Rookie pitcher Hurston Waldrep was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Max Fried is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-2 with a 2.93 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 13 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Orioles split their 4-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-22 record overall and have a home record of 21-12. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Tuesday with the series finale of their series against the Tampa Bay Rays still to be played on Monday. The Orioles won the series opener of this series on Friday, the 2nd game on Saturday, and the 3rd game on Sunday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .762 OPS. Corbin Burnes is their starting pitcher on Monday while Albert Suárez is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-0 with a 1.83 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 35-28 record overall, but that record only has them in 2nd place of the NL East. They are chasing down the Phillies in 1st place and they had Monday off which gives them a chance to regroup after a really rough series over the weekend. Meanwhile, the Orioles have looked great in their games this season with their 42-22 record overall which is one of the best records in the entire MLB, but that record only has them in 2nd place of the AL East. The Orioles are trailing behind the Yankees in their division, but they still have one of the best offenses in the MLB and have been one of the best teams all season. The Braves also have a really good lineup though and even though they have hit a rough patch lately, they will be looking to bounce back here. The Braves are going to have Fried on the mound here and that gives them a great chance to bounce back since he is 6-2 with a 2.93 ERA this season. The Braves have been dealing with a lot of injuries to their pitching staff this year so they are going to take advantage of this game with one of their better starters. The Orioles also have a solid starter in Suarez on the mound with his 2-0 record and 1.83 ERA, but he gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and hasn't really been a starter as his main role this year. The Orioles are also in a bad travel situation since they are still playing on Monday night in Tampa while the Braves are rested and waiting for them. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Braves Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 11, 2024 (6:35 pm ET start time) is Braves 4 Orioles 2.

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Atlanta Braves: 35-28 (-8.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 16-16 (-6.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 22-19 (-7.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 23-16 OVER off a loss to a division rival as a favorite. MAX FRIED is 6-1 OVER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 and 10-3 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Baltimore Orioles: 43-22 (+11.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 115-82 (+22.4 units) on the moneyline in home games. 17-8 (+8.6 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 12-5 OVER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better. 20-12 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5. 

Atlanta Braves:  R. Acuna Jr. (RF) out for season - Lower Body. J. Herget (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Smith-Shawver (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. A. Minter (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. T. Matzek (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  K. Stowers (LF) Que Mon - Wrist. A. Hays (LF) Que Mon - Ribs. J. Means (SP) out for season - Forearm. J. Mateo (SS) Out indefinitely - Head. D. Kremer (SP) Mid June - Tricep. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“It started out really good and baseball happened. I got some unlucky breaks and also gave up some hits I didn’t need to give up and missed some pitches, walked some guys. It is what it is. It’s part of the game.” - Hurston Waldrep after their loss against the Nationals in their game on Sunday.

“I thought he was attacking the zone really well. Was using all of his pitches effectively in zone and then really good two-strike pitches as well.” - Adley Rutschman after their win against the Rays in their game on Sunday.

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Adam Duvall (R) RF

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Jarred Kelenic (L) LF

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Ryan Mountcastle (R) DH

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

Colton Cowser (L) LF

Ramón Urías (R) 3B

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.312)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (73)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (18)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (55)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (8)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (16)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (78)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (20)

RBI:  Adley Rutschman (49)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (13)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (7)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (14)

ERA:  Nick Vespi (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)