Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/08/2024

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, Jul 07, 2024
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Monday, July 8, 2024
Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -218, Diamondbacks +180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -220, Diamondbacks +180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -220, Diamondbacks +180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Atlanta Braves:  49-39 (2nd place, NL East)
Arizona Diamondbacks:  44-45 (3rd place, NL West)

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Recent Form
Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks:  6-4 last 10



Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Analysis


The Braves are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-39 record overall and have a road record of 20-22. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Diamondbacks on Monday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .709 OPS. Reynaldo López was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Chris Sale is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 11-3 with a 2.71 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 9 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-45 record overall and have a home record of 22-21. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Monday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Ryne Nelson was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Yilber Diaz is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. He will be making his MLB debut in this game.


Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 49-39 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East, trailing behind the Phillies in 1st place. They haven't looked great in their road games with their 20-22 road record, but they have looked better lately as they are coming off a series win against the Phillies and that will give them some momentum going forward. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks haven't looked great in their games this season with their 44-45 record overall which has them near the bottom of the NL West. They are only 22-21 in their home games too, and this was the team that went to the World Series last season. The Diamondbacks have regressed a lot this year and it isn't going to help that they are going with a rookie in this game, and a rookie who is making his MLB debut. The Braves are starting to get hot again and they have a solid starter on the mound with Sale who is 11-3 with a 2.71 ERA this year. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and that has been a common theme for him all year. The team has also had a ton of success with him starting, winning 3 of their last 4 games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game and on the runline.

Braves Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, July 8, 2024 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Braves 6 Diamondbacks 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Atlanta Braves: 11-21 (-14.15 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 32 away games. 5-14 (-12.25 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 19 away games. 37-20 to the under in their last 57 games. 

Arizona Diamondbacks: 16-9 (+6.30 units) on the runline in their last 25 games. 41-49 (+6.40 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 90 games. 20-11 to the under with their team total in their last 31 home games. 

Key Injuries


Atlanta Braves:  O. Arcia (SS) - Head. B. Anderson (RF) - Bacterial Infection. R. Kerr (RP) - Elbow. H. Waldrep (SP) - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) - Elbow. M. Harris (CF) - Hamstring. S. Strider (SP) - Elbow. R. Acuña (RF) - Knee. J. Herget (SP) - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) - Hip. A. Smith-Shawver (RP) - Oblique. A. Perdomo (RP) - Elbow.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  G. Moreno (C) - Thumb. M. Walston (SP) - Elbow. Z. Gallen (SP) - Hamstring. K. Kelly (SP) - Shoulder. K. Nelson (RP) - Shoulder. M. Castro (RP) - Shoulder. A. Thomas (CF) - Hamstring. E. Rodriguez (SP) - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“That was amazing. I had never meet him. ... I didn't know if he knew me, but it was real cool to me to meet him like that. He's a special guy for the organization.” - Marcell Ozuna after their win against the Phillies in their game on Saturday.


“I think we dug pretty deep into our reserve and I think our character showed up today. We had some moments that didn't go our way. The Padres are a hot team right but we had guys step up and get the job done.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Padres in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Atlanta Braves
J Kelenic (L) CF
O Albies (S) 2B
A Riley (R) 3B
M Olson (L) 1B
M Ozuna (R) DH
T d'Arnaud (R) C
A Duvall (R) RF
O Arcia (R) SS
E White (R) LF

Arizona Diamondbacks
C Carroll (L) RF
G Perdomo (S) SS
J Pederson (L) DH
C Walker (R) 1B
L Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
J McCarthy (L) CF
E Suárez (R) 3B
K Newman (R) 2B
J Herrera (S) C

Statistical Leaders


Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.298)
Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (96)
Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (23)
RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (72)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)
Wins:  Chris Sale (11)
Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (21)
ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Randal Grichuk (.292)
Hits:  Ketel Marte (95)
Home Runs:  Christian Walker (22)
RBI:  Christian Walker (64)
Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (15)
Wins:  Zac Gallen (6)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (11)
ERA:  Justin Martinez (1.54)

Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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