Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/04/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Jun 03, 2023
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Sunday, June 4, 2023
Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +120, D-Backs -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +120, D-Backs -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +120, D-Backs -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Atlanta Braves:  33-24 (1st place, NL East)
Arizona Diamondbacks:  35-23 (2nd place, NL West)

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Recent Form
Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks:  7-3 last 10



Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Analysis


The Braves are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and lost their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-24 record overall and have a road record of 18-10. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the D-Backs on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .785 OPS. Spencer Strider is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Michael Soroka is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Oakland A’s.

The Diamondbacks are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak and completed the sweep 4-0 in a 4-game series against the Colorado Rockies in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-23 record overall and have a home record of 20-12. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Sunday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .756 OPS. Ryne Nelson is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Zac Gallen is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-2 with a 2.72 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 7 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Colorado Rockies.


Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks are off to a really hot start this season as they are challenging the Dodgers for the lead of their division right now. Their pitching has been good and they have a top 10 offense in the league. The Braves also have one of the best offenses in the league right now but their pitching hasn't been as good lately with all of the injuries they have to their pitching staff. They haven't been playing well over the last week either and the Diamondbacks have a chance to take advantage of the Braves in their slump. Gallen is starting for the D-Backs and he has been really good this season as he leads the starters in wins and hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts either. He will get plenty of run support from his offense too as the Braves are going with Soroka who is only making his 2nd start of the season and gave up 4 runs in his 1st start. Soroka has missed a lot of time over the last few seasons with injury and he has clearly not found a groove yet after that season debut. The D-Backs hot offense will take advantage of that and they will put up runs while the Braves have a much tougher time trying to score on Gallen. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game.

Braves Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 4, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 6 Braves 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


Atlanta Braves: 23-23 (-9.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 7-16 (-6.8 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +125 to +175. MIKE SOROKA is 6-1 UNDER against NL West opponents and 6-2 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Arizona Diamondbacks: 35-23 (+15.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 25-13 (+14.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 24-14 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 8-4 UNDER against NL East opponents.

Key Injuries


Atlanta Braves:  M. Tonkin (SP) Mid June - Neck. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. M. Fried (SP) Late June - Forearm. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. K. Allard (SP) Mid June - Oblique. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  A. Misiewicz (RP) Mid June - Calf. K. Lewis (RF) Mid June - Illness. C. Kelly (C) Mid June - Forearm. M. Melancon (RP) Late July - Shoulder. J. Mantiply (RP) Mid June - Hamstring. C. Sulser (RP) Mid June - Shoulder. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“Charlie threw the ball really well tonight. We're just having a hard time generating any consistent offense.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the D-Backs in their game on Friday.


“I think there was a little extra zoom in everybody's behind today, knowing the Braves were in here. We knew what was going on today and our guys stood tall in the middle of the ring. I'm proud of that.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Sean Murphy (R) C
Travis d'Arnaud (R) DH
Eddie Rosario (L) LF
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Orlando Arcia (R) SS
Michael Harris II (L) CF

Arizona Diamondbacks
Geraldo Perdomo (S) 2B
Ketel Marte (S) DH
Corbin Carroll (L) CF
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Emmanuel Rivera (R) 3B
Gabriel Moreno (R) C
Nick Ahmed (R) SS
Jake McCarthy (L) RF

Statistical Leaders


Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Ronald Acuna (.323)
Hits:  Ronald Acuna (73)
Home Runs:  Matt Olson (17)
RBI:  Matt Olson (42)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (23)
Wins:  Charlie Morton (5)
Saves:  A.J. Minter (7)
ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Emmanuel Rivera (.333)
Hits:  Lourdes Gurriel (61)
Home Runs:  Christian Walker (12)
RBI:  Christian Walker (36)
Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (16)
Wins:  Zac Gallen (7)
Saves:  Andrew Chafin (8)
ERA:  Miguel Castro (2.13)

Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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