Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 3, 2023
Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch: BSAZ
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Braves -205, D-Backs +175; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Braves -205, D-Backs +175; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Braves -205, D-Backs +175; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Atlanta Braves: 33-23 (1st place, NL East)
Arizona Diamondbacks: 34-23 (2nd place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Atlanta Braves: 4-6 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks: 7-3 last 10
Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Analysis
The Braves are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-23 record overall and have a road record of 18-9. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the D-Backs on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .786 OPS. Charlie Morton is their starting pitcher on Friday while Spencer Strider is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-2 with a 2.97 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 9 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.
The Diamondbacks are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 4-0 in a 4-game series against the Colorado Rockies in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-23 record overall and have a home record of 19-12. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .758 OPS. Merrill Kelly is their starting pitcher on Friday while Ryne Nelson is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-2 with a 5.37 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 1 strikeouts on 8 hits through 5 innings played against the Colorado Rockies.
Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction
The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves haven't been playing well lately after losing a series to the worst team in the MLB but they are going to be looking to bounce back in this series. The Diamondbacks have been really good this year as they are challenging the Dodgers for the lead in the NL West and they also have a top 10 offense in the MLB too, but their pitching hasn't been that great and the Braves have a clear edge in that department. The Braves have been battling a lot of injuries to their pitching staff but they will get a good outing out of Strider here and the D-Backs will struggle to put up runs in this game. Nelson is up for the D-Backs too and he hasn't been great this season, giving up a ton of runs in his starts. As good as the D-Backs offense has been this season, the Braves also have an offense that is in the top 10 of the MLB and their offense has actually been better than the Diamondbacks so far. The Braves will be eager to have a much better offensive game after they went quiet against the A's and they will have no problem putting up the runs with this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game and on the runline.
Braves Diamondbacks Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 3, 2023 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Braves 6 Diamondbacks 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Atlanta Braves: 23-22 (-8.1 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 4-6 (-4.2 units) on the moneyline against NL West opponents. 15-7 OVER as a favorite of -150 or more. 18-10 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5.
Arizona Diamondbacks: 34-23 (+14.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 24-13 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. RYNE NELSON is 5-1 OVER in home games and 4-1 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10.
Key Injuries
Atlanta Braves: M. Tonkin (SP) Mid June - Neck. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. M. Fried (SP) Late June - Forearm. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. K. Allard (SP) Mid June - Oblique. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.
Arizona Diamondbacks: A. Misiewicz (RP) Mid June - Calf. K. Lewis (RF) Mid June - Illness. C. Kelly (C) Mid June - Forearm. M. Melancon (RP) Late July - Shoulder. J. Mantiply (RP) Mid June - Hamstring. C. Sulser (RP) Mid June - Shoulder. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“These guys deserve this off day. This is a rough go here with all the teams we played. Coming out here, I’m not making excuses but that did probably punch us in the gut a little bit.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Athletics in their game on Wednesday.
“He didn't waste a year in his development. He was preparing for that moment. He has incredible talent and a great gift in processing the right information.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Eddie Rosario (L) LF
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Orlando Arcia (R) SS
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pavin Smith (L) RF
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Corbin Carroll (L) LF
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) DH
Josh Rojas (L) 3B
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS
Jake McCarthy (L) CF
Jose Herrera (S) C
Statistical Leaders
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average: Ronald Acuna (.324)
Hits: Ronald Acuna (72)
Home Runs: Matt Olson (17)
RBI: Matt Olson (42)
Stolen Bases: Ronald Acuna (23)
Wins: Charlie Morton (5)
Saves: A.J. Minter (7)
ERA: Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average: Emmanuel Rivera (.347)
Hits: Lourdes Gurriel (60)
Home Runs: Christian Walker (12)
RBI: Christian Walker (35)
Stolen Bases: Corbin Carroll (16)
Wins: Zac Gallen (7)
Saves: Andrew Chafin (8)
ERA: Miguel Castro (2.22)
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)