by ASA, Inc.
Friday, Jan 16, 2026LOS ANGELES RAMS QB - Matthew Stafford Over 267.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Stafford and the Rams sweated out a close one at Carolina last week where the MVP favorite threw for 304 yards and 3 touchdowns. Attempting 42 passes, LA relied heavily on their two elite receivers with Puka Nacua and Davante Adams absorbing 31 of those targets. Meanwhile, Chicago was shredded by Jordan Love for 323 yards and 4 touchdowns, yet still managed an improbable comeback win. It will be another chilly game at Soldier Field on Sunday, but expect lots of offense with this matchup slated for the highest point total of the weekend (48.5). The Bears led the league in turnover margin during the regular season with a staggering +22 but ranked 29th in total yards allowed. Stafford should have no issue attacking the Chicago secondary and you can be certain Sean McVay will not let off the gas like his protege Matt Lafleur did with a NFC Championship berth on the line.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS RB - Zach Charbonnet Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Many picture Charbonnet as the 1B to Kenneth Walker in the Seattle backfield, yet Charbonnet actually played the majority of the snaps over the last two weeks of the regular season. He averaged 92 yards on 18 carries per game during that span and the discount he is getting vs his running mate Walker (O/U 58.5 YDs) screams of value. Considering Sam Darnold’s previous playoff struggles, the Seahawks would be wise to remain on schedule and utilize their rushing attack as much as possible. San Francisco has a stout rushing defense ranking 11th in yards allowed per game during the regular season, nevertheless this line feels very attainable. Charbonnet should see double digit carries, if that's the case, he has a great shot at hitting his over.
DENVER BRONCOS WR - Courtland Sutton Over 55.5 Receiving Yards
Sutton quietly had his second straight one thousand yard season while operating as the clear number one passing option for the top seeded Broncos. During the regular season, he would have surpassed his yardage total for this week in 11 of 16 games he played. The big body receiver averaged 60 yards per game and will certainly be called upon again to keep up with Josh Allen and the Bills, who steamrolled them just over one year ago in the Wild Card round. In that game, Sutton caught five of nine targets for 75 yards on the road. This year many seem to be counting the Broncos out in Denver, but whether they jump out to a lead or are playing from behind, Sutton will be heavily involved just like their last playoff matchup.
