Army Black Knights vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/09/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Dec 05, 2023
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 9, 2023
Venue:  Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Army -2.5, Navy +2.5; Over/Under:  27.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Army -2.5, Navy +2.5; Over/Under:  27.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Army -2.5, Navy +2.5; Over/Under:  28 points

Season Record

Army Black Knights:  5-6 (0-0) (FBS Independents)
Navy Midshipmen:  5-6 (4-4) (7th place, AAC)

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Recent Form
Army Black Knights:  won their last game at home against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 28-21.
Navy Midshipmen:  lost their last game on the road against the SMU Mustangs 59-14.


Army Black Knights vs Navy Midshipmen Preview and Analysis


Army is entering this game with a 5-6 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too since they are an Independent. They are 3-3 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Coastal Carolina 28-21. Bryson Daily was the starting QB and he completed 0/1 passes for 0 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions while Champ Harris also completed 0/1 passes for 0 yards and 1 INT. Tyson Riley led the team in rushing yards with 112 and 1 TD. None of the receivers on the offense recorded a catch or any yardage in the game. Leo Lowin led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Quindrelin Hammonds came away with the only interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
Navy is entering this game with a 5-6 record overall and they have a 4-4 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against SMU 59-14. Xavier Arline was the starting QB and he completed 0/6 passes for 0 passing yards before leaving injured and getting replaced by Braxton Woodson who completed 9/18 passes for 71 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Braxton Woodson led the team in rushing yards with 104 and 1 TD. Alex Tecza led the receivers with 34 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Landon Robinson and Rayuan Lane each led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Eavan Gibbons led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


Army vs Navy Prediction

The current betting odds have Army listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This game will be at a neutral site but it has big implications for both teams here. Both of these teams are entering this game with 5-6 records overall so the winner of this game will become bowl eligible. Even more so on the line here is the Commander in Chief's Trophy which both teams want to win badly, but Army does have the edge here from their win against Air Force earlier this season. Army has also looked a lot better in their games lately and will have some momentum after beating CCU in their last game while Navy lost their last game against SMU and it was a blowout loss, losing 59-14. Navy also lost to Air Force earlier this season and that was a home game for them too. Navy easily has the worst team of the 3 military schools this year and with the way they have looked in their games lately, Army will roll right by them like they did in their game last week. Army is going to be motivated here with a chance to take the Commander in Chief's Trophy all for themselves so look for them to finish their season off strong as they are the better team too. The best way to place a bet here is on Army to cover the spread in this game. 

Army Navy Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, December 9, 2023 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Army 16 Navy 10.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Army Black Knights Navy Midshipmen prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Army Black Knights: 6-13 ATS as a favorite. 16-29 ATS against American Athletic conference opponents. 7-12 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers. 9-4 UNDER on a neutral field where the total is 42 or less. 6-0 UNDER after 3 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers.

Navy Midshipmen: 16-9 ATS as an underdog. 8-3 ATS on a neutral field where the total is 42 or less. 46-26 ATS after playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored. 10-2 UNDER after allowing 50 points or more last game. 20-11 UNDER after a loss by 17 or more points.

Key Injuries


Army Black Knights:  K. Udoh (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. I. Alston (WR) Out indefinitely - Ankle. A. Meredith (QB) out for season - Undisclosed.

Navy Midshipmen:  T. Lavatai (QB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Williams (WR) Ques Sat - Knee. N. Kent (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. R. Velez (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Umbarger (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. X. Arline (QB) Ques Sat - Ankle. B. Horvath (QB) Out indefinitely - Thumb. K. Myers (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. T. Gleaton (QB) Out indefinitely - Academics.

Notable Quotes


“Frankly, I don’t think there’s a better rivalry in sports, to be honest with you. There’ll be conference championships next week, the National Championship Game is coming up, rivalry weekend in college football last Saturday, and those are great games. But I don’t think any of them compare to the Army-Navy Game.” - Jeff Monken on his team’s upcoming game against Navy this week.


“It’s really difficult to describe. Just the scene, the energy, the pageantry, just the pride that you have being a part of the game. There’s nothing like it. There’s no college football game like it. There’s the pure effort and fight that both teams will play with on Saturday, there’s no game like that in the country. I don’t care if you take Georgia-Alabama, some of the biggest robberies in college football. All 11 guys playing as hard as they do, and the pride they play with and playing for each other, it’s a special day and there’s really nothing like it.” - Brian Newberry on his team’s upcoming game against Army this week.


Starting Lineups


Army Black Knights
WR Fortner, Liam 
WR Reynolds, Casey  
WR Short, Noah  
TE Lingenfelter, Joshua 
QB Daily, Bryson 
RB Udoh, Kanye  
FB Robinson, Tyrell 

Navy Midshipmen
WR Williams, Camari 
WR Umbarger, Jayden 
TE Scully, Thomas 
QB Arline, Xavier 
RB Chatman, Brandon 
RB Heidenreich, Eli  
FB Tecza, Alex 

Statistical Leaders


Army Black Knights
Passing: B. Daily (859)
Rushing: B. Daily (821)
Receiving: I. Alston (266)
Touchdowns: B. Daily (7)

Navy Midshipmen
Passing: T. Lavatai (522)
Rushing: A. Tecza (724)
Receiving: E. Heidenreich (326)
Touchdowns: E. Heidenreich (5)

Coaches:
Army Black Knights: Jeff Monken (10th season)
Navy Midshipmen: Brian Newberry (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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