Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/25/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 5:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 25, 2021
Venue:  Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, OK
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Arkansas State +13.5, Tulsa -13.5; Over/Under:  62.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Arkansas State +13.5, Tulsa -13.5; Over/Under:  63 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Arkansas State +13.5, Tulsa -13.5; Over/Under:  63.5 points

Season Record

Arkansas State Red Wolves:  1-2 (4th place, Sun Belt Group B)
Tulsa Golden Hurricane:  0-3 (11th place, AAC)
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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Arkansas State Red Wolves:  lost on the road on Sep. 18 against Washington 52-3.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane:  lost on the road on Sep. 18 against Ohio State 41-20.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Analysis

Arkansas State is coming into this game with a 1-2 record overall and is 0-1 in their road games this year where they will be in this game. This will be their last non-conference game of the regular season. Their win came against the Central Arkansas Bears in their season opener while their losses came against the Memphis Tigers and the Washington Huskies in their last game. James Blackman really struggled in that game as he completed 16/38 passes for 176 yards. Quarterback Layne Hatcher also got some work but completed 6/11 passes for 44 yards and 1 interception. The run game had nothing going for them in that game as Johnnie Lang led the team in rushing with 18 yards on 6 carries. Lincoln Pare led the team in receiving with 69 yards on 7 receptions. Elery Alexander led the defense with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Kivon Bennett had the only sack in the game for the while Leon Jones and Jeffmario Brown both came away with 1 interception each. They have scored 93 points in their first 3 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 128 points against them. Their offense is averaging 487.7 YPG while their defense is allowing 538.7 YPG.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Analysis

Tulsa is coming into this game with a 0-3 record overall and is 0-1 in their home games where they will be for this one. This will be their last non-conference game for the season as the conference schedule is starting. Their 3 losses came against the UC Davis Aggies in their first game, the Oklahoma State Cowboys, and the Ohio State Buckeyes in their last game. Davis Brin played alright in that game as he completed 31/54 passes for 428 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. They did not have a good running game in that one as Deneric Prince led the team in rushing with 38 yards on 9 carries. The receiving corps had a nice day though as Josh Johnson led the team in receiving with 149 yards and 1 touchdown on 8 receptions. Erza Naylor also had 81 receiving yards on 5 receptions and J.C. Santana was right behind him with 78 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Tyon Davis led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Kendarin Ray and Cullen Wick both recorded 1 sack each in the game while Travon Fuller came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 60 points in their first 3 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 88 points against them. The Tulsa offense is averaging 432 YPG while their defense is allowing 406.7 YPG.


Arkansas State vs Tulsa Prediction

Tulsa does not have a good defense from their first couple of games. Arkansas State should be able to move the ball well on them. They were not able to do anything against a good defensive Washington team last week but against a team with a bad defense like Memphis, they were able to put up 50 points. They will want to make up for that bad performance against Washington last week by coming out strong in the first half. Tulsa looked good against some tough competition and should be able to pull away against the bad Red Wolves defense. The more they pull away, the more Arkansas State will have to score quickly to respond. This one should go back and forth all game and end up going over the total here. Online sportsbooks have the total set in the low 60’s so the over is the best bet to make in this game.
Arkansas State Tulsa Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 25, 2021 (5:00 pm ET start time) is Tulsa 42 Arkansas State 34.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

Arkansas State Red Wolves: 14-13 ATS in all games. 7-4 ATS as an underdog.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: 16-8 ATS in all games. 6-1 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 63.

Key Injuries

Arkansas State Red Wolves:  None.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane:  S. Boomer (QB) Ques Sat - Knee injury. K. Stokes (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. J. Stewart (WR) out for season - Undisclosed injury.

Players to Watch

Arkansas State Red Wolves: Corey Rucker is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in TDs and seems to be a nice end zone target for this team. He will need to score some TDs here for his team if they want to pull off the upset so look for him to have a big game.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: Keylon Stokes is one player to watch here. He leads his team in receiving yards and will be looking to move up the rankings even more. Look for him to make some big catches in this game as he tries to help his team get their first win of the season here. 

Notable Quotes

“When you play a quality opponent like Washington, everything is magnified. Every critical mistake you make – not being locked in, not trusting your keys, not reacting. We have to go back and look at all that. All this is on me.“ - Butch Jones after a very bad loss against Washington last week.
"We just went toe-to-toe with an exceptional type of team that's explosive on both sides of the ball." - Philip Montgomery on the way his team played against OSU last week.

Starting Lineups

Arkansas State Red Wolves
WR Foreman, Jeff 
WR Rucker, Corey 
WR Hunt, Te'Vailance 
TE Tyler, Reed 
QB Blackman, James 
RB Lamar, Alan 
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
WR Crawford Jr., Sam 
WR Santana, JuanCarlos 
WR Stokes, Keylon 
TE Hall, Ethan 
QB Brin, Davis 
RB Brooks, Shamari 

Statistical Leaders (Stats)

Arkansas State Red Wolves
Passing: J. Blackman (651)
Rushing: A. Lamar (98)
Receiving: J. Foreman (270)
Touchdowns: C. Rucker (4)
Sacks: K. Bennett (2.5)
Tackles: T. Doss (16)
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Passing: D. Brin (853)
Rushing: D. Prince (251)
Receiving: K. Stokes (190)
Touchdowns: D. Prince (2)
Sacks: C. Wick (2)
Tackles: K. Ray (12)
Arkansas State Red Wolves: Butch Jones (1st season)
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: Philip Montgomery (7th season)

Weather Forecast

87 degrees F sunny, 38% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 9 mph wind speeds SE.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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