Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/02/2023

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 2, 2023

Venue:  Gaylord Family - Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  AR State +35, Oklahoma -35; Over/Under:  58.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  AR State +35, Oklahoma -35; Over/Under:  58.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  AR State +35.5, Oklahoma -35.5; Over/Under:  58.5 points

Arkansas State Red Wolves:  0-0 (Sun Belt West)

Oklahoma Sooners:  0-0 (Big 12)

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Arkansas State Red Wolves:  N/A

Oklahoma Sooners:  N/A

Arkansas State finished last season with a 3-9 record overall and they had a 1-7 record in their conference games too.  They were 3-3 in their home games, 0-6 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games last season, but they will be on the road for this season opener. Last season, their offense was averaging 25 points scored per game while their defense was allowing an average of 31.4 points per game. Their offense also averaged 314.8 yards per game while their defense was allowing an average of 405.1 yards per game. James Blackman led the team in passing yards with 2471, Johnnie Lang led the team in rushing yards with 419, and Seydou Traore led the team in receiving yards with 655.

 

 

 

Oklahoma finished last season with a 6-7 record overall and they had a 3-6 record in their conference games too.  They were 4-2 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they were also 0-2 in their neutral site games last season, but they will be at home for this season opener. Last season, their offense was averaging 32.8 points scored per game while their defense was allowing an average of 30 points per game. Their offense also averaged 474 yards per game while their defense was allowing an average of 461 yards per game. Dillon Gabriel led the team in passing yards with 3168, Eric Gray led the team in rushing yards with 1366, and Marvin Mims led the team in receiving yards with 1083.

The current betting odds have Oklahoma listed as a 35 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oklahoma was terrible last season as they were expected to be a much better team under their new head coach but they failed to answer the call in multiple games as they went 6-7 overall, even losing in their bowl game, and they were terrible in their conference games too with a 3-6 record. They were a lot better in their home games as they did go 4-2 there but they have also made a lot of improvements to their team for this season and their defense will be a lot better than it was last season. Their offense will also take a big step this season as Venables is now in his 2nd season coaching the team and Arkansas State is coming off a season where they weren't great. Arkansas State plays in a much weaker conference in the Sun Belt but they were terrible last season going 3-9 overall and even struggled against their own conference opponents going 1-7 in those games. Now they have to take on a power 5 school in Oklahoma who plays in a much better Big 12 Conference and will be looking to come out really strong here after the terrible season they had last year. Arkansas State doesn't have a good defense either so they will struggle to keep out this improved Oklahoma offense while the improved Oklahoma defense also makes it really difficult for Arkansas State to score points. The best way to place a bet here is on Oklahoma to cover the spread in this game. 

Arkansas State Oklahoma Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 2, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Oklahoma 56 AR State 13.

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Arkansas State Red Wolves: 8-4 ATS as a road underdog. 6-2 ATS in non-conference games. 11-4 UNDER as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points. 4-1 UNDER against Big 12 conference opponents.

Oklahoma Sooners: 10-18 ATS as a home favorite of 28.5 to 35 points. 5-9 ATS in the first half of the season. 22-17 UNDER in the first two weeks of the season.

Arkansas State Red Wolves:  None.

Oklahoma Sooners:  None.

“Well we still haven’t named anybody. It’s trying to balance the reps out as we go. We need all 3 individuals (Shrout, Jaxon Dailey, Jaylen Raynor) to continue to grow and develop. In terms of the quarterback, we’ll continue to evaluate that. We’ll take this weekend and really compile things. I have some outside individuals that I trust in the coaching profession. It’s kinda evaluating their practices as we go as well.” - Butch Jones on the QB competition for the starting position.

“I’m kind of hard on the defense, and they deserve that. We haven’t been very good in a while. But guys are making improvements there. It’s incredibly important.” - Brent Venables on his team’s defense coming into the new college football season.

WR Jackson, Courtney 

WR Foreman, Jeff 

WR Rucker, Corey 

TE Stevenson, Emmanual 

QB Shrout, J.T. 

RB Snead, Brian 

WR Farooq, Jalil 

WR Anthony, Andrel 

WR Stoops, Drake 

TE Stogner, Austin 

QB Gabriel, Dillon 

RB Barnes, Jovantae 

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Coaches:

Arkansas State Red Wolves: Butch Jones (3rd season)

Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (2nd season)