Arkansas Razorbacks vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/28/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Feb 27, 2023
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 28, 2023
Venue:  Thompson-Boling Arena, Knoxville, TN
Where to Watch:  ESPN2


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +7.5, Tennessee -7.5; Over/Under:  135 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +7.5, Tennessee -7.5; Over/Under:  135 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +7.5, Tennessee -7.5; Over/Under:  135 points

Season Record

Arkansas Razorbacks:  19-10 (8-8) (8th place, SEC)
Tennessee Volunteers:  21-8 (10-6) (4th place, SEC)

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Recent Form
Arkansas Razorbacks:  2-3  last 5
Tennessee Volunteers:  2-3  last 5


Arkansas Razorbacks vs Tennessee Volunteers Preview and Analysis


Arkansas is coming into this game with a 19-10 record overall and they are 2-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 8-8 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Alabama Crimson Tide in their last game. Brandon Miller led the team in points in that game with 24 while Jahvon Quinerly was next on the team with 16 points. Jahvon Quinerly led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Noah Clowney led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 45.3% from the field, 13.6% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.2 PPG against them. Arkansas has an ATS record of 15-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 12-16-1.


Tennessee is coming into this game with a 21-8 record overall and they are 13-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 10-6 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game off of a win against the South Carolina Gamecocks in their last game. Josiah-Jordan James led the team in points in that game with 18 while Jahmai Mashack was next on the team with 14 points. Zakai Zeigler led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Olivier Nkamhoua led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 58.1% from the field, 43.5% from 3-point range, and 50% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 71.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 56.7 PPG against them. Tennessee has an ATS record of 15-14 this season and their O/U record is 11-17-1.



Arkansas vs Tennessee Prediction

The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee enters this game ranked as one of the best teams in the country with their 21-8 record overall. They have been good in the SEC with a 10-6 conference record this season but they have been really good in their home games where they are 13-2 this year. Arkansas has also been having a good year with their 19-10 record overall but they have really struggled against SEC opponents with their 8-8 conference record. They have also been really bad in their road games with a 2-7 road record and they just put a ton of effort into their last game which was also on the road to try and beat Alabama who is the best team in the SEC this year. That game took a lot out of them trying to make a comeback late and almost completing it too but they are going to be down here as they still ended up with the loss in that game and they are going to have a bit of a letdown here with another highly ranked team in front of them on the road here. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game. 

Arkansas Tennessee Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 28, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 80 Arkansas 67.
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NCAAB Betting Trends


Arkansas Razorbacks: 33-21 ATS against conference opponents. 19-9 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more. 31-19 UNDER after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more.
Tennessee Volunteers: 3-10 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 28-9 UNDER after one or more consecutive overs. 19-7 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more.

Key Injuries


Arkansas Razorbacks:  T. Brazile (F) out for season - Knee.
Tennessee Volunteers:  J. Phillips (F) Ques Tues - Hip. T. Key (G) Ques Tues - Ankle. D. Jefferson (G) out for season - Redshirt.

Notable Quotes


“We really struggled to start the second half. That was the difference in the game, was a stretch there to start the second half.” - Eric Musselman after his team’s loss against Alabama in their last game. 


“This group of guys, they’ve been very resilient. We’re always disappointed when we don’t win. We’re disappointed sometimes when we win and don’t play well. These guys, they care about each other. Every team in the country goes through the ups and downs. I would just say that these guys have embraced each other in a great way. And at no point in time during this they have not gone to practice hard, not been locked in on what we’re trying to do. One thing we’ve been talked about all year, being more disciplined defensively by not fouling. I thought tonight this was one of the first games, I don’t know if there has been, neither team got to the bonus. But I thought both teams played really hard. We’ve talked about not fouling people. Then obviously the turnovers. Only four turnovers. I’d like our guys to if we take care of the ball, get open shots, we’ve got a chance to be the offensive team that I think they know we might be, and what we think (we might be).” - Rick Barnes after his team’s win against South Carolina in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Arkansas Razorbacks
A. Black 
R. Council 
D. Davis 
M. Mitchell 
J. Walsh

Tennessee Volunteers
T. Key 
O. Nkamhoua 
J. Phillips 
U. Plavsic 
S. Vescovi

Statistical Leaders


Arkansas Razorbacks
PPG: R. Council IV (16.8)
APG: A. Black (4.3)
Reb/G: T. Brazile (6)

Tennessee Volunteers
PPG: S. Vescovi (12.3)
APG: Z. Zeigler (5.5)
Reb/G: J. Aidoo (5.2)

Coaches:
Arkansas Razorbacks: Eric Musselman (4th season)
Tennessee Volunteers: Rick Barnes (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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