Arkansas Razorbacks vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/15/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, Feb 14, 2022
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 15, 2022
Venue:  Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO 
Where to Watch:  SEC Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Arkansas -7.5, Missouri +7.5; Over/Under:  140 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Arkansas -7.5, Missouri +7.5; Over/Under:  139.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Arkansas -7.5, Missouri +7.5; Over/Under:  139.5 points
 

Season Record

Arkansas Razorbacks:  19-6 (4th place, SEC)
Missouri Tigers:  10-14 (11th place, SEC)
 
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Arkansas Razorbacks vs Missouri Tigers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Arkansas Razorbacks:  4-1 last 5
Missouri Tigers:  2-3 last 5
 
 
 

Arkansas Razorbacks Analysis

Arkansas is coming into this game with a 19-6 record overall and they are 3-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 13th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 8-4 in their conference games this season. They have won 9 of their last 10 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 9 game winning streak that they were on. Their 9 wins in that span were against the Missouri Tigers, the LSU Tigers, the South Carolina Gamecocks, the Texas A&M Aggies, the Ole Miss Rebels, the West Virginia Mountaineers, the Georgia Bulldogs, the Mississippi State Bulldogs, and the Auburn Tigers while their loss came against the Alabama Crimson Tide in their last game. Jaylin Williams led the team in points in that game with 22 while Stanley Umude was next on the team with 19 points. JD Notae and Chris Lykes off the bench both led the team in assists in that game with 3 each while Williams led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 31.4% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 70.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.3 PPG against them. Arkansas has an ATS record of 15-10 this season and their O/U record is 14-11.
 
 

Missouri Tigers Analysis

Missouri is coming into this game with a 10-14 record overall and they are 7-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 12th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 4-7 in their conference games this season. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Vanderbilt Commodores while their 2 wins in that span came against the Texas A&M Aggies and the Ole Miss Rebels in their last game. Javon Pickett and Ronnie DeGray III off the bench both led the team in points in that game with 14 each while Kobe Brown, DaJuan Gordon, and Amari Davis were all next on the team with 13 points each. Brown led the team in assists in that game with 5 and he also led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 53.8% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 68.8% from the free throw line with their shots this season. Their offense is averaging 66.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.4 PPG against them. Missouri has an ATS record of 12-11 this season and their O/U record is 12-11.
 

 

Arkansas vs Missouri Prediction

Arkansas is coming into this game playing very well recently. They are coming off of a very close loss in their last game by 1 point on the road against Alabama but that close loss snapped a 9 game winning streak that they were on and they have some very good wins in that span. They upset the number 1 Auburn team a week ago and they have been winning games by a lot recently but their games have been much closer when they are on the road. They still only have an 8-4 record in their conference games this season and they are only 3-3 on the road. They are going up against a Missouri side that have not been playing well in their conference games this season but they have been playing a lot better recently, especially at home. They have won 2 of their last 5 games at home, all of them against conference opponents, and the 3 games that they lost were all within 3 points, including a 1 point loss to Auburn. Arkansas has lost a lot of their momentum now that their winning streak has been snapped and they have not been great on the road either. Missouri has shown a lot of improvement recently and they have been playing very well at home keeping their games close. Arkansas should get the win here but only by a few points.
 
Arkansas Missouri Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 15, 2022 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Arkansas 76 Missouri 72.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Arkansas Razorbacks: 100-143 ATS in road games. 22-16 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 13-2 OVER as a road favorite or pick.
Missouri Tigers: 11-5 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 11-2 ATS as a home underdog or pick. 9-2 OVER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more.
 

Key Injuries

 
Arkansas Razorbacks:  None.
Missouri Tigers:  J. Wilmore (F) Out Indefinitely - Back injury. A. Brookshire (G) Ques Tues - Wrist injury. Y. Keita (F) Ques Tues - Knee injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We didn't like them dancing on our logo. That was disrespectful to us. That added fuel to the fire.'' - Jaylin Williams on their win against the number 1 ranked Auburn team.
 
 
“The beautiful thing about Trev is he’s a humble young man. His parents did a tremendous job raising him. All he wants to do is be a good basketball player and be a part of a team. Once in his mind he truly realizes that he’s one of the best out there, you’ll see next level.” - Cuonzo Martin on Trevon Brazile.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Arkansas Razorbacks
D. Davis 
J. Notae 
Au’Diese Toney 
C. Vanover 
J. Williams
 
Missouri Tigers
T. Brazile 
K. Brown 
J. Coleman
D. Gordon 
J. Pickett
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Arkansas Razorbacks
PPG: J. Notae (18.8)
APG: J. Notae (3.5)
Reb/G: J. Williams (9.2)
 
Missouri Tigers
PPG: K. Brown (12.9)
APG: J. Coleman (3)
Reb/G: K. Brown (8.1)
 
Coaches:
Arkansas Razorbacks: Eric Musselman (3rd season)
Missouri Tigers: Cuonzo Martin (5th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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