Arkansas Razorbacks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/29/2021

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, December 29, 2021

Venue:  Humphrey Coliseum, Starkville, MS

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +3.5, Mississippi State -3.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +3.5, Mississippi State -3.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +3.5, Mississippi State -3.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points

 

Arkansas Razorbacks:  10-2 (3rd place, SEC)

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  9-3 (9th place, SEC)

 

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Arkansas Razorbacks:  3-2 last 5

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  3-2 last 5

 

 

 

Arkansas is coming into this game with a 10-2 record overall and they will be playing their first road game of the season in this game. This will also be their first conference matchup of the season as well. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but they are coming off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. Their 2 losses in that span were against the Oklahoma Sooners and the Hofstra Pride while their win came against the Elon Phoenix in their last game. Chris Lykes led the team in points in that game with 21 while JD Notae and Kamani Johnson off the bench were both next on the team with 15 points each. Jaxson Robinson also scored 14 points in that one as well. Davonte Davis led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Notae and Johnson both led the team in rebounds with 7 each. They were 45.8% from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range, and 82.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.8 PPG against them. Arkansas has an ATS record of 6-6 this season and their O/U record is 7-5.

 

 

Mississippi State is coming into this game with a 9-3 record overall and they are 7-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their first conference matchup of the season as well. Their last loss was against the Colorado State Rams but they have gone on a 3 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Georgia State Panthers, the Furman Paladins, and the Winthrop Eagles in their last game. Iverson Molinar led the team in points in that game with 22 while D.J. Jeffries was next on the team with 19 points. Garrison Brooks also scored 15 points and Shakeel Moore scored 20 points in that one as well. Jeffries and Cam Carter off the bench both led the team in assists in that game with 4 each while Jeffries and Cameron Matthews both led the team in rebounds with 6 each. They were 54.7% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 73.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 61.4 PPG against them. Mississippi State has an ATS record of 6-6 this season and their O/U record is 5-7.

 

Mississippi State is coming into this game as a 3.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Mississippi State has been playing well in their recent games with 3 straight wins and they have a great record when playing at home this season. This is the first conference game for both of these teams but this will also be the first true road game for Arkansas this season as well and they have not been playing well recently with their 2 losses on the season coming in their last 3 games. There is a lot of pressure on Arkansas here with the first conference game being their first road game as well so Mississippi State has a big advantage here at home. The best bet to place in this game is on Mississippi State to cover the spread here.

 

Arkansas Mississippi State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, December 29, 2021 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Mississippi State 72 Arkansas 66.

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Arkansas Razorbacks: 9-4 O/U as an underdog. 10-3 O/U as a road underdog or pick. 19-4 O/U in road games. 26-11 O/U against conference opponents. 11-6 O/U in December games.

Mississippi State Bulldogs: 11-6 O/U in December games. 5-0 O/U when playing with 7 or more days rest. 19-11 O/U after 2 consecutive non-conference games. 8-3 O/U after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better.

 

 

Arkansas Razorbacks:  None.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  T. Smith (F) Early Jan - Foot injury.

 

 

“It’s three days off, but in the locker room, nobody’s satisfied. We’re getting prepared for Mississippi State. So we’re focused on that.” - Kamani Johnson after a win against Elon.

 

 

"It's more for our fans that are there in Jackson. All of our students are gone right now and a lot of people that work here at Mississippi State have gone off to visit family. I think it's a nice time of year to get down there and play in front of our fans. It's a win-win." - Ben Howland on his team’s win against Winthrop.

 

 

 

D. Davis 

J. Notae 

Au’Diese Toney 

C. Vanover 

J. Williams

 

G. Brooks 

D. Jeffries 

C. Matthews 

I. Molinar 

S. Moore

 

 

PPG: J. Notae (18)

APG: D. Davis (4)

Reb/G: J. Williams (8.3)

 

PPG: I. Molinar (16.9)

APG: I. Molinar (4.4)

Reb/G: T. Smith (8.3)

 

Coaches:

Arkansas Razorbacks: Eric Musselman (3rd season)

Mississippi State Bulldogs: Ben Howland (7th season)