Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 13, 2021
Venue: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Arkansas -2.5, LSU +2.5; Over/Under: 59 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Arkansas -2.5, LSU +2.5; Over/Under: 59 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Arkansas -2.5, LSU +2.5; Over/Under: 58.5 points
Arkansas Razorbacks: 6-3 (6th place, SEC West)
LSU Tigers: 4-5 (7th place, SEC West)
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Arkansas Razorbacks vs LSU Tigers Preview and Analysis
Arkansas Razorbacks: won at home on Nov. 6 against the Mississippi State Bulldogs 31-28.
LSU Tigers: lost on the road on Nov. 6 against the Alabama Crimson Tide 20-14.
Arkansas Razorbacks Analysis
Arkansas is coming into this game with a 6-3 record overall and they are 0-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 6th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 2-3 in their conference games this season. They are coming into this game on a 2 game winning streak after another win in their last game. KJ Jefferson played alright in that game as he completed 19/23 passes for 191 yards and 1 touchdown. Dominique Johnson had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 107 yards and 2 touchdowns on 17 carries. Treylon Burks led the receivers with 82 yards and 1 touchdown on 6 receptions. Joe Foucha led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. Tre Williams led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 while Grant Morgan came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 293 points in their 9 games this season averaging 32.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 216 points against them allowing 24 PPG. Their offense is averaging 457.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 351.2 YPG.
LSU Tigers Analysis
LSU is coming into this game with a 4-5 record overall and they are 3-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 7th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 2-4 in their conference games this season. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Max Johnson really struggled in that game as he completed 16/32 passes for 160 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Tyrion Davis-Price led the team in rushing with 104 yards on 23 carries. Jaray Jenkins led the receivers with 54 yards on 4 receptions while Jack Bech led the team in receptions with 5 for 33 yards and 1 touchdown. Brian Thomas Jr. caught the other touchdown pass in that game. Dwight McGlothern led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Mike Jones Jr., Cameron Lewis, Damone Clark, and Neil Farrell Jr. all recorded the only sacks for them in that game with 1 each while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 258 points in their 9 games this season averaging 28.7 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 250 points against them allowing 27.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 372.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 398.8 YPG.
Arkansas vs LSU Prediction
Arkansas is coming into this game as a 2.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Arkansas has been playing well in their games this season and they only have 1 loss in their last 5 as they are playing great in their recent games. LSU has been the opposite, playing bad in a lot of their games this season and coming into this one on a losing streak. They are also coming off of a game against Alabama which they must have put a lot of physicality and emotion into that game as they only lost by 6 points. This is going to be a let down game for them and Arkansas has been playing much better in their games anyway. The best bet to place in this game is on Arkansas to cover the spread here.
Arkansas LSU Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 13, 2021 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Arkansas 27 LSU 20.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Arkansas Razorbacks: 25-32 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 20-31 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 81-86 ATS as a favorite. 10-25 ATS as a road favorite. 61-69 ATS in road games.
LSU Tigers: 179-173 ATS in all games. 16-13 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 54-49 ATS as an underdog. 120-118 ATS against conference opponents. 122-113 ATS after playing a conference game.
Arkansas Razorbacks: D. Gerald (DL) out for season - Leg injury.
LSU Tigers: M. Burns (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. J. Evans (DT) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. C. Flott (CB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
"We didn't just win the Super Bowl but it feels like it. "Very, very excited to know we're going to play in December or January." - Sam Pittman on his team becoming Bowl eligible after their win against Mississippi State in their last game.
"I felt like we had something to lose, because we had the game to lose and that's important to us. We should have won the game. Our guys played their hearts out." - Ed Orgeron on their loss against Alabama in their last game.
WR Morris, Tyson
WR Warren, De'Vion
WR Burks, Treylon
TE Kern, Blake
QB Jefferson, KJ
RB Smith, Trelon
WR Thomas Jr., Brian
WR Palmer, Trey
WR Jenkins, Jaray
TE Bech, Jack
QB Johnson, Max
RB Davis-Price, Tyrion
Passing: K. Jefferson (1848)
Rushing: T. Smith (476)
Receiving: T. Burks (799)
Touchdowns: T. Burks (8)
Passing: M. Johnson (2168)
Rushing: T. Davis-Price (732)
Receiving: K. Boutte (508)
Touchdowns: Kayshon Boutte (9)
Arkansas Razorbacks: Sam Pittman (2nd season)
LSU Tigers: Ed Orgeron (6th season)