Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers Prediction & Game Preview - 1/15/2022

by Chuck Sommers

Saturday, Jan 15, 2022
Time: 2 p.m. ET
Venue: Pete Maravich Assembly Center, Baton Rouge, LA
Where to watch: ESPN2

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks


DraftKings: LSU -7
BetMGM: LSU -6.5
Caesars: LSU -6.5

Season record
Arkansas: 11-5 (1-3 SEC)
No. 12 LSU: 15-1 (3-1 SEC)

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Arkansas - LSU preview, analysis and prediction


We've learned over their last seven games that the Arkansas Razorbacks are nowhere near the team they should be.

Line them up against the LSU Tigers and things aren't going to get any better against one of the best teams in the SEC.

One thing I analyze more than I should when it comes to college basketball is how teams respond after very tough losses; especially after games where they were soundly defeated in said losses.

I look at LSU and how it's played since losing at No. 4 Auburn on Dec. 29 and can't help but be impressed with the response. It started with that 5-point win over Kentucky at home, and then an impressive 12-point victory at home against Tennessee.

Then you hit the road to Gainesville and knock off a Florida team that has already put together some impressive wins this season. Darius Days scored 20 points in his home state and Eric Gaines chipped in 15 to continue this terrific start for the Tigers.

"Give our guys credit, man," LSU coach Will Wade said. "We're a tough out. We've got guys that step up and come through for us. … We just dug it out there. We didn't have our normal lineups in there; we had lineups in there we've never practiced with. Our guys just found a way."

They are a tough out and might be the deepest team in the SEC outside of Auburn. Tari Eason is their leading scorer at 15.5 points per game in just 23 minutes a night. Days, who shoots 35.5 percent from 3-point range in just 29.6 minutes per night.

That's not even talking about the stellar play LSU has gotten from point guard Xavier Pinson, who leads LSU is assists (4.6) and steals (2.1). He'll likely be guarding JD Notae all game long, which means Arkansas needs someone else to carry the scoring while Notae, averaging 18.8 per game, works to create his own offense. It's going to be a grind for the Hogs.

LSU won't have any problems finding depth to get the ball in the hoop. The Tigers have six players that average at least 8 points per game. They'll be at home, they're laying a reasonable seven points against a program that has not lost a road game to this point, while LSU is 10-0 at home. Give me the Tigers. LSU by 14

Betting trends


Arkansas is 10-15 ATS on the road in the past three seasons.

Arkansas is 6-8 ATS as an underdog the past three seasons.

LSU is 10-0 ATS as a home favorite this season.

LSU is 14-0 straight up as a favorite this season.

Projected starting lineup


Arkansas:
PG: Chris Lykes
SG: J.D. Notae
SF:
Jax Robinson
PF:
Trey Wade
C:
Jaylin Williams

LSU:
PG: Xavier Pinson
SG: Brandon Murray
SF:
Mwani Wilkinson
PF:
Darius Days
C:
Efton Reid

Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Arkansas - LSU prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily college basketball projections and previews.

Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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