Arkansas Razorbacks vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/19/2025

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 19, 2025

Venue:  Neville Arena, Auburn, AL

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +16.5, Auburn -16.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +16.5, Auburn -16.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +16.5, Auburn -16.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points

Arkansas Razorbacks:  15-10 (4-8) (12th place, SEC)

Auburn Tigers:  23-2 (11-1) (1st place, SEC)

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Arkansas Razorbacks:  3-2  last 5

Auburn Tigers:  4-1  last 5

Arkansas is entering this game with a 15-10 record overall, a 4-8 record in conference games, and they are 3-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Texas A&M Aggies in their last game. Karter Knox led the team in points per game in that game with 17 while Zvonimir Ivisic was next on the team with 13. Adou Thiero led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Zvonimir Ivisic and Billy Richmond III each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 41.7% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 73.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.9 PPG against them. Arkansas has an ATS record of 9-16 this season and their O/U record is 9-16.

Auburn is entering this game with a 23-2 record overall, an 11-1 conference record, and they are 10-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Alabama Crimson Tide in their last game. Johni Broome led the team in points in that game with 19 while Denver Jones was next on the team with 16. Johni Broome led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Johni Broome led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 46.2% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 68.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.4 PPG against them. Auburn has an ATS record of 15-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-10.

The current betting odds have Auburn listed as a 16.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Auburn has looked great in their games this season with their 23-2 record overall and their 11-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the SEC. They have looked great on their home court too with their 10-1 home record, and they are ranked as the best team in the nation. Meanwhile, Arkansas hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 15-10 record overall and their 4-8 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They haven't been a good road team either with their 3-4 road record. They have looked better in their games lately as they are 3-2 in their last 5 after struggling for most of the season, but even their 3 wins during this time have been against teams in the bottom half of the SEC. They are coming off a loss to Texas A&M in their last one too, and they really needed to win that one to start adding to their resume for the NCAA Tournament. Auburn has looked great lately as they are 4-1 in their last 5 games and have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. They are also coming off a huge road win over Alabama in their last one which solidified them as the best team in the nation so they are going to carry that momentum into this one. Auburn has also been rolling over a lot of teams in their games this season, especially on their home court, so look for them to pull off another win at home by double digits against an Arkansas team that has struggled all season in Calipari's first year there. The best way to place a bet here is on Auburn to cover the spread in this game. 

Arkansas Auburn Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, February 19, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Auburn 82 Arkansas 62.

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Arkansas Razorbacks: 6-22 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5. 6-14 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 7-17 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 8-3 OVER after 3 or more consecutive unders. 35-22 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 turnovers/game or less.

Auburn Tigers: 25-15 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. 20-11 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5. 4-1 ATS after allowing 85 points or more. 10-5 OVER off a road win. 9-2 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 34-19 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less.

Arkansas Razorbacks:  B. Fland (G) Out - Hand.

Auburn Tigers:  None.

"For us to bust through, we're going to have to beat somebody. We can say what we want, [but] I wanted to make sure they weren't happy [thinking] we're going to be OK. No. If we won that game we're in the tournament. If we won that game, we're in the tournament. So it's not OK to say we'll be alright." - John Calipari after his team’s loss against Texas A&M in their last game. 

“We acted like we were the No. 1 team. We prepared like we were the No. 1 team. And we are the No. 1 team in the country.” - Bruce Pearl after his team’s win against Alabama in their last game. 

J. Aidoo 

B. Fland 

K. Knox 

A. Thiero 

D. Wagner

C. Baker-Mazara 

J. Broome 

D. Cardwell 

D. Jones 

M. Kelly

PPG: A. Thiero (15.9)

APG: B. Fland (5.7)

Reb/G: A. Thiero (6.1)

PPG: J. Broome (18.1)

APG: J. Broome (3.4)

Reb/G: J. Broome (10.9)

Coaches:

Arkansas Razorbacks: John Calipari (1st season)

Auburn Tigers: Bruce Pearl (11th season)