Arkansas Razorbacks vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/14/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Oct 11, 2023
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 14, 2023
Venue:  Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +19.5, Alabama -19.5; Over/Under:  47 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +19, Alabama -19; Over/Under:  46.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +19.5, Alabama -19.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Season Record

Arkansas Razorbacks:  2-4 (0-3) (7th place, SEC West)
Alabama Crimson Tide:  5-1 (3-0) (1st place, SEC West)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in CFB as he is 81-43 his last 124 CFB Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Arkansas Razorbacks:  lost their last game on the road against the Mississippi Rebels 27-20.
Alabama Crimson Tide:  won their last game on the road against the Texas A&M Aggies 26-20.


Arkansas Razorbacks vs Alabama Crimson Tide Preview and Analysis


Arkansas is entering this game with a 2-4 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Ole Miss 27-20. KJ Jefferson was the starting QB and he completed 25/39 passes for 250 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Raheim Sanders led the team in rushing yards with 15. Ty Washington led the receivers with 90 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Jaheim Thomas led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Trajan Jeffcoat and Malik Chavis each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
Alabama is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Texas A&M 26-20. Jalen Milroe was the starting QB and he completed 21/33 passes for 321 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jase McClellan led the team in rushing yards with 45. Jermaine Burton led the receivers with 197 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 2 TDs. Caleb Downs led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Justin Eboigbe led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Caleb Downs came away with the only interception for them in that game.


Arkansas vs Alabama Prediction

The current betting odds have Arkansas listed as a 19.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Arkansas is only 2-4 this season and they have been terrible in conference play with their 0-3 conference record but even in most of their losses they are keeping the scores close. They will be on the road against Alabama who is 5-1 this season and playing a lot better since losing at home to Texas, but even Alabama is not the team they used to be and they don't really have the offense to go off on this Arkansas defense and pull away by 3 TDs in this game. Alabama does have a really good defense but they haven't been shutting teams out so Arkansas is going to put up points here, especially since they will be desperate for a conference win. Alabama doesn't have the offense to put up a ton of points on Arkansas either so even if Alabama wins this game by double digits, it won't be by 20+ points. The best way to place a bet here is on Arkansas to cover the spread in this game.

Arkansas Alabama Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 14, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 31 Arkansas 21.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Arkansas Razorbacks Alabama Crimson Tide prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Arkansas Razorbacks: 13-7 ATS as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points. 14-4 ATS in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49. 21-11 OVER in all games. 20-12 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49. 5-1 OVER off a road loss. 

Alabama Crimson Tide: 13-21 ATS as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points. 14-23 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49. 11-6 OVER after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. 4-2 OVER after a win by 6 or less points.

Key Injuries


Arkansas Razorbacks:  L. Hasz (TE) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Mbake (WR) out for season - Knee.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  J. Burnip (P) Ques Sat - Leg. M. Moore (DB) Ques Sat - Ankle.

Notable Quotes


“It’s hard to win a game when you can’t run the ball. There’s way too much pressure on our quarterback. Our offense has got to find a way to run the football.” - Sam Pittman after his team’s loss against Ole Miss in their last game.


“This may be the record game for me, in terms of messing up and still winning.” - Nick Saban after his team’s win against Texas A&M in their last game.  


Starting Lineups


Arkansas Razorbacks
WR Armstrong, Andrew 
WR TeSlaa, Isaac 
WR Wilson, Jaedon 
TE Bax, Nathan 
QB Jefferson, KJ 
RB Sanders, Raheim 

Alabama Crimson Tide
WR Benson, Malik  
WR Burton, Jermaine
WR Bond, Isaiah 
TE Dippre, CJ 
QB Milroe, Jalen 
RB McClellan, Jase 

Statistical Leaders


Arkansas Razorbacks
Passing: K. Jefferson (1300)
Rushing: A. Green (195)
Receiving: A. Armstrong (437)
Touchdowns: A. Armstrong (4)

Alabama Crimson Tide
Passing: J. Milroe (1159)
Rushing: J. MccLellan (371)
Receiving: J. Burton (386)
Touchdowns: J. Milroe (4)

Coaches:
Arkansas Razorbacks: Sam Pittman (4th season)
Alabama Crimson Tide: Nick Saban (17th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2024 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.