Arizona State Sun Devils vs Utah Utes Picks Spread and Trends to Watch - 10/16/2021

by James Q

Arizona State Sun Devils vs Utah Utes Picks Spread and Trends to Watch - 10/16/2021

Game Time: 2:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 16th, 2021
Venue:  Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah
Where to Watch: ESPN

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings Sportsbook:  Spread: ASU -1; Over/Under:  51 points
Circa:  Spread: Utah -1; Over/Under:  51 points
VegasInsider:  Spread:  PK; Over/Under: 51 points

Season Record

ASU: 5-1, 3-0 conf (Pac-12 South)
Utah: 3-2, 2-0 conf (Pac-12 South)
This is a pick em’ game.  Depending on what book you use you could get a point in either direction. The moneyline odds on betting the game straight up will be -105.  If you look to the point total for your bet, you’ll want to ask if these teams are capable of scoring a combined 51 points or not…. Maybe the better question is are these defenses capable of stopping each other?  Let’s look.
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Sun Devils vs Utes Preview and Analysis

Arizona State has been winning and winning… though they seem to have trouble against Mormons.  Game 1 was an easy win over the helpless Southern Utah Thunderbirds 41-14.  Game 2 was another easy win over the hapless UNLV 37-10.  Game 3 was the big loss to BYU 27-17, a 10 point loss that derailed perfection to this point.  Game 4 was another easy win over Colorado 35-13.  Game 5 was a program defining win over UCLA 42-23, this more than any other win declared Arizona State legit in the Pac-12.  Game 5 a wonderful win over the Stanford Cardinal, it was wonderful because Stanford had just beaten USC.  Arizona State has all the evidence on paper that they could win the Pac-12 and find themselves in a Rose Bowl if Oregon stumbles.
Utah is not as good.  The lack of a point spread in this game shouldn’t deter you from betting ASU.  Utah got a big win over Weber State 40-17, the takeaway is they allowed Weber State to score 17 in what should have been a bigger blowout.  Game 2 they lost to BYU (so did ASU) 26-17 (almost the exact same score) and this is why the current week 7 game has no spread. Game 3 was an awkward close loss to San Diego State 33-31… it took overtime, but it was a loss.  Game 4 was a win over the awful Washington State 24-13.  Game 5 was a big win over USC (remember, ASU beats the USC beaters) 42-26.

Offensive Analysis

The Arizona State offense is ranked 44th in the FBS on offense.  They have scored 26 touchdowns on 441.7 yards per game.

Utah is ranked 71st in FBS on offense.  They have scored 18 touchdowns on 390.6 points per game. 

Both of these teams put up less than 20 points on BYU’s defense.

Defensive Analysis

Arizona State is ranked 14th in the FBS on defense.  They have given up a paltry 11 touchdowns on 298 yards per game.  UCLA and BYU are high-powered offenses.  Arizona State held them both to below their season average in both points and yards.

Utah is ranked 41st in the FBS on defense.  They have allowed 13 touchdowns on 340.4 yards per game.  They are playing great defense, but remember Weber State is the high water mark… these Utah stats seem fugazzi.

Arizona State vs Utah Prediction

Our prediction for Saturday, October 16th is… ASU 35 - Utah 21

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NCAAF Betting Trends

ASU is 5-10 ATS as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ASU is 5-2 ATS off a win against a conference rival, the last 3 seasons.
ASU is 5-2 against the spread when playing a team with a winning record, last 3 seasons.
Utah is 12-5 ATS against conference opponents, the last 3 seasons.
Utah is 12-6 ATS when playing on a Saturday, the last 3 seasons.
Utah is 12-3 ATS  after playing a conference game, the last 3 seasons.


Key Injuries

ASU:  WR Johnny Wilson (hamstring) Questionable * DL Amiri Johnson (undisclosed) Quest
Utah: S Cole Bishop (undisclosed)  Questionable * DT Viane Moala (undisclosed) Out for season.

Starting Lineups

ASU: QB Jayden Daniels, RB Rachaad White, TE Curtis Hodges, WR Andre Johnson, WR Johnny Wilson, WR Ricky Pearsall, LT Kellen Diesch, LG LaDarius Henderson, OC Dohnovan West, RG Henry Hattis, RT Ben Scott

Utah: QB Cameron Rising, RB Micah Bernard, TE Brant Kuithe, Wr Theo Howard, WR Solomon Enis, WR Britain Covey, LT Jaren Kump, LG Keaton Bills, OC Nick Ford, RG Sataoa Laumea, RT Braeden Daniels

Weather Forecast

Sunny.  High of 57* Humidity 52%.  Wind 6 mph.  Its hot chocolate weather from now until April 15th in Salt Lake City…. If only they didn’t frown on hot chocolate.

James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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