Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/17/2026

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 17, 2026

Venue:  Galaxy Stadium, Lubbock, TX

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  ASU +14.5, TTU -14.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  ASU +14.5, TTU -14.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  ASU +14.5, TTU -14.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Arizona State Sun Devils:  3-2 (1-1) (9th place, Big 12)

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  5-0 (2-0) (2nd place, Big 12)

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Arizona State Sun Devils:  won their last game at home against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 30-12.

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  won their last game on the road against the Colorado Buffaloes 29-7.

Arizona State is entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Hawaii 30-12. Cutter Boley was the starting QB and he completed 21/31 passes for 189 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Cardae Mack led the team in rushing yards with 154 and 2 TDs. Reed Harris led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 2 TDs. Martell Hughes led the defense in that game with 10 tackles while Julian Hugo led the defense in sacks with 2. Kyan McDonald came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Texas Tech is entering this game with a 5-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Colorado 29-7. Will Hammond was the starting QB and he completed 17/26 passes for 134 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. J'Koby Williams led the team in rushing yards with 88. Terrance Carter Jr. led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Austin Romaine and John Curry each led the defense in that game with 7 tackles while Mateen Ibirogba led the defense in sacks with 1. Brice Pollock came away with 2 interceptions for them while John Curry and Malik Esquerra each came away with 1 interception in that one.

The current betting odds have Texas Tech listed as a 14.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas Tech has looked great in their games this season with their 5-0 record overall and their 2-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They have looked great on their home field too with their 3-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, Arizona State has looked good in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall and their 1-1 conference record which has them right in the middle of the Big 12. They haven't been a great road team though with their 0-1 road record this year. Arizona State is coming off a 30-12 win over Hawaii in their last one, but they got blown out at home by Baylor the week before. They lost that game 55-19 on their own home field and both of their losses this season have been games where they got blown out. Their defense hasn't looked good against stronger offenses and their offense hasn't looked that great either, not putting up a ton of points in their games all year. Texas Tech had a rocky start to the season with their offense having some trouble, but they are still undefeated after 5 games played and they are starting to look more like the team that won the Big 12 last season. Their offense still hasn't looked as good as last year, but they have looked a lot better lately and the defense has also been carrying a lot of weight for them, shutting opponents down. Texas Tech is coming off a 29-7 win over Colorado in their last one and they are still the best team in the Big 12 with a big gap between them and the next team. Look for Texas Tech to continue rolling at home here against an Arizona State team that has had trouble against tougher competition. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas Tech to cover the spread in this game. 

Arizona State Texas Tech Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 17, 2026 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Texas Tech 35 Arizona State 14.

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Arizona State Sun Devils: 19-29 ATS on the road when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 25-33 ATS on the road vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 7-4 UNDER as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points. 14-7 UNDER on the road vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game.

Texas Tech Red Raiders: 20-8 ATS against FBS division opponents. 11-4 ATS as a home favorite. 16-4 ATS against conference opponents. 9-5 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record. 8-4 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.

Arizona State Sun Devils:  D. Carter (WR) Questionable - Back. T. Gelsey (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Markey (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Singleton Jr. (RB) Out - Lower Body.

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  C. Dickey (RB) Out - Ankle. T. Carter Jr. (TE) Probable - Shoulder. T. White (LB) Questionable - Knee. A. Boyd (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed.

“We had people on people. I know that sounds boring and fundamental, but that wasn't always the case last week.” - Kenny Dillingham after his team’s win against Hawaii in their last game. 

“Whew. Some really ugly football at times. Just finding a way to win the game.” - Joey McGuire after his team’s win against Colorado in their last game. 

WR Harris, Reed

WR Miller, Omarion

WR Moss, Jalen

TE Anderson, Khamari

QB Boley, Cutter

RB Brown, Kyson

WR Johnson, Kenny

WR Hudson, Micah

WR Eakin, Coy

TE Carter Jr., Terrance

QB Hammond, Will

RB Dickey, Cameron

Passing: Cutter Boley (1,229)

Rushing: Kyson Brown (290)

Receiving: Reed Harris (590)

Touchdowns: Reed Harris (7)

Passing: Will Hammond (1,102)

Rushing: J'Koby Williams (373)

Receiving: Kenny Johnson (298)

Touchdowns: Cameron Dickey (4)

Coaches:

Arizona State Sun Devils: Kenny Dillingham (4th season)

Texas Tech Red Raiders: Joey McGuire (5th season)