Arizona State Sun Devils vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/31/2025

Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Wednesday, December 31, 2025

Venue:  Sun Bowl, El Paso, TX

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  ASU +3, Duke -3; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  ASU +3, Duke -3; Over/Under:  49.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  ASU +3, Duke -3; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Arizona State Sun Devils:  8-4 (6-3) (6th place, Big 12)

Duke Blue Devils:  8-5 (6-2) (1st place, ACC)

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Arizona State Sun Devils:  lost their last game at home against the Arizona Wildcats 23-7.

Duke Blue Devils:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Virginia Cavaliers 27-20 in overtime. 

Arizona State is entering this game with an 8-4 record overall and they have a 6-3 record in their conference games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, and they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against Arizona 23-7. Jeff Sims was the starting QB and he completed 11/25 passes for 114 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Raleek Brown led the team in rushing yards with 63. Malik McClain led the receivers with 57 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jordan Crook led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Justin Wodtly led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Duke is entering this game with an 8-5 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Virginia 27-20 in OT. Darian Mensah was the starting QB and he completed 19/25 passes for 196 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Nate Sheppard led the team in rushing yards with 97 and 1 TD. Cooper Barkate led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Luke Mergott led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Vincent Anthony Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1. Luke Mergott and Caleb Weaver each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Duke listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Duke has looked good in their games this season with their 8-5 record overall and their 6-2 conference record which had them right at the top of the ACC. They have also played in a neutral site game this year and they are 1-0. Meanwhile, Arizona State has looked good in their games this season with their 8-4 record overall and their 6-3 conference record which had them right near the top of the Big 12. They haven't played in any neutral site games this season so this will be their first, playing in the Sun Bowl. Arizona State was a solid team this season, but they weren't able to defend their Big 12 Championship from last year. They didn't look great to end the season either, dealing with a lot of injuries, and they are off a 23-7 loss to Arizona in their last one, not looking very competitive for most of that game. They were able to retain their head coach, but a lot of their players are hitting the transfer portal and will not be available for this game. Duke had a really up and down season this year and they will be looking to prove a point in this final game. They had some really bad losses this year and that kept them out of the CFP, but they did have some really good wins in their conference and went on to win the ACC Championship. They are off a 27-20 win over Virginia in that game and they are definitely feeling snubbed missing the playoffs as the ACC champion so look for Duke to end the season making a statement in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Duke to cover the spread in this game. 

Arizona State Duke Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Wednesday, December 31, 2025 (2:00 pm ET start time) is Duke 30 Arizona State 13.

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Arizona State Sun Devils: 22-14 ATS in all lined games. 8-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 11-6 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 9-5 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 5-1 OVER after a bye week.

Duke Blue Devils: 5-9 ATS in non-conference games. 4-7 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 22-16 OVER in all lined games. 8-4 OVER when the line is +3 to -3. 9-4 OVER in non-conference games. 

Arizona State Sun Devils:  K. Abney II (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Brown (RB) Doubtful - Undisclosed. M. Iheanachor (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Brown (RB) Doubtful - Undisclosed. Z. Swanson (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Fortier (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. I. Iosefa (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Arends (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Fall (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Shanklin (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. N. Johnson (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Bimage Jr. (CB) Questionable - Upper Body. A. Wilson (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Fiaseu (LB) Out - Redshirt. S. Leavitt (QB) Out - Foot. B. Coleman (OG) Out - Arm.

Duke Blue Devils:  K. Robinson (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Gompers (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. N. Morris Jr. (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. N. Kutufaris (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Scott (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Sahakian (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Moore (S) Questionable - Knee. B. Davis (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Schaper (LB) Out - Undisclosed.

"Michigan's an unbelievable job with unlimited resources, with people who will do whatever they can to make it successful, who want to see it succeed. Somebody's going to get an unbelievable opportunity ... to take over one of the best programs in the country, with one of the best rosters in the country." - Kenny Dillingham on signing an extension with ASU.

"They don’t have wins like this. They don’t have a win against a team like that. That’s a big-time team right there in Virginia. Seven wins in this conference, seven Power Four wins compared to zero. That’s a playoff team. Darian Mensah may be the best damn quarterback in the country. These guys deserve to be in." - Manny Diaz on his team deserving a spot in the CFP.

WR McClain, Malik

WR Tyson, Jordyn

WR Eusebio, Derek

TE Metayer, Chamon

TE Harpole, Cameron

QB Sims, Jeff

RB Brown, Raleek 

WR Hagans, Sahmir

WR Barkate, Cooper

WR Brown, Que'Sean

TE Hasley, Jeremiah

QB Mensah, Darian

RB Sheppard, Nate

Passing: Sam Leavitt (1,628)

Rushing: Raleek Brown (1,141)

Receiving: Jordyn Tyson (711)

Touchdowns: Jordyn Tyson (9)

Passing: Darian Mensah (3,646)

Rushing: Nate Sheppard (962)

Receiving: Cooper Barkate (1,069)

Touchdowns: Anderson Castle (11)

Coaches:

Arizona State Sun Devils: Kenny Dillingham (3rd season)

Duke Blue Devils: Manny Diaz (2nd season)