Arizona State Sun Devils vs California Golden Bears Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/30/2023

Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 30, 2023

Venue:  California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA

Where to Watch:  Pac-12 Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  ASU +12, Cal -12; Over/Under:  51 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  ASU +12, Cal -12; Over/Under:  50.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  ASU +12, Cal -12; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Arizona State Sun Devils:  1-3 (0-1) (12th place, Pac-12)

California Golden Bears:  2-2 (0-1) (10th place, Pac-12)

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Arizona State Sun Devils:  lost their last game at home against the USC Trojans 42-28.

California Golden Bears:  lost their last game on the road against the Washington Huskies 59-32.

Arizona State is entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against USC 42-28. Drew Pyne was the starting QB and he completed 21/36 passes for 221 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Cameron Skattebo led the team in rushing yards with 111 and 1 TD. Elijhah Badger led the receivers with 88 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Shamari Simmons led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Prince Dorbah and B.J. Green II each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

California is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Washington 59-32. Ben Finley was the starting QB and he completed 17/32 passes for 207 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jaydn Ott led the team in rushing yards with 40 and 1 TD. Trond Grizzell led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Patrick McMorris and Kaleb Elarms-Orr each led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Lu-Magia Hearns III came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have California listed as a 12 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. California is only 2-2 this season but they have improved a lot this year and have a much better team than the 1-3 Sun Devils. Arizona State only has 1 win this season and it was a 3 point win at home against a team from the FCS. They are also going to be in a let down spot after playing their 1st conference game of the season at home against USC last week, losing 42-28. They were right in that game with USC until the end and they put a lot of emotion into that game too. Now they will be on the road against a much better team with a good defense and Arizona State is going to find themselves struggling to move the ball again like they did in their first 3 games. California also lost their 1st game of conference play but they were on the road against Washington and still put up 32 points in that game which is the most Washington has allowed all season. California is going to be looking to bounce back here and they were really good at home last season with a much worse team. The best way to place a bet here is on California to cover the spread in this game.

Arizona State California Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 30, 2023 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Cal 31 ASU 13.

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Arizona State Sun Devils: 17-9 ATS off a cover where the team lost as an underdog. 20-13 ATS after 3 or more consecutive straight up losses. 20-9 UNDER as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. 9-4 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56.

California Golden Bears: 17-31 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 1-4 ATS after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game. 8-3 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 30-21 UNDER after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games.

Arizona State Sun Devils:  C. Smith (DL) day-to-day - Undisclosed. K. Bourda (DL) day-to-day - Undisclosed. D. Brooks (RB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. I. Glass (OL) day-to-day - Undisclosed. T. Bourguet (QB) day-to-day - Leg. G. Hart III (RB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. J. Tyson (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Rashada (QB) Early Nov - Undisclosed. E. Bohle (OL) out for season - Leg. X. Alford (DB) out for season - Eligibility. J. Smith (WR) out for season - Eligibility. M. Warren (DB) Mid Oct - Shoulder.

California Golden Bears:  K. Doerue (RB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. J. Williams-Thomas (RB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. E. Saunders (DL) day-to-day - Undisclosed. B. Cardwell (RB) out for season - Undisclosed.

“It's really hard to stop what they do when you combine the talent with a good scheme. There's things our guys can do better.” - Kenny Dillingham after his team’s loss against USC in their last game. 

“I can’t say that any one unit played well enough. And that is coaches and players and ultimately me.” - Justin Wilcox after his team’s loss against Washington in their last game.

WR Badger, Elijhah 

WR Guillory, Xavier 

WR Stovall, Melquan 

TE Conyers, Jalin 

QB Rashada, Roman  

RB Skattebo, Cameron 

WR Hunter, Jeremiah 

WR Davis, Taj  

WR Young, Monroe 

TE Endries, Jack 

QB Jackson V, Sam 

RB Ott, Jaydn 

FB Alfieri, Andy 

Passing: J. Rashada (403)

Rushing: C. Skattebo (259)

Receiving: E. Badger (213)

Touchdowns: C. Skattebo (4)

Passing: B. Finley (526)

Rushing: J. Ott (306)

Receiving: J. Hunter (232)

Touchdowns: I. Ifanse (4)

Coaches:

Arizona State Sun Devils: Kenny Dillingham (1st season)

California Golden Bears: Justin Wilcox (7th season)