Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/19/2023

Game Time: 8:40 pm ET, Saturday, August 19, 2023

Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA

Where to Watch:  SDPA

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +114, Padres -135; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +125, Padres -145; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +114, Padres -135; Over/Under:  8 runs

Arizona Diamondbacks:  62-60 (3rd place, NL West)

San Diego Padres:  58-64 (4th place, NL West)

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Arizona Diamondbacks:  5-5 last 10

San Diego Padres:  3-7 last 10

The Diamondbacks are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 62-60 record overall and have a road record of 32-29. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Padres on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. They also won the series opener of this series on Thursday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Rookie pitcher Brandon Pfaadt is their starting pitcher on Friday while Merrill Kelly is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 9-5 with a 3.05 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 11 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Padres are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-64 record overall and have a home record of 32-30. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Diamondbacks on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Thursday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .736 OPS. Seth Lugo is their starting pitcher on Friday while Yu Darvish is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-8 with a 4.24 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 8 hits through 7 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.

The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks haven't been good lately as there was a time when they were leading the NL West and now sit in 3rd place with a record barely over .500. The Padres have been terrible all season though as they still sit under .500 on the year and have had a terrible offense all year while the Diamondbacks actually have a really good offense that has been all year. The Diamondbacks are also going to be looking to use this series to not only hurt the Padres playoff chances but improve theirs as they try to get into a Wild Card spot. Kelly is on the mound for the Diamondbacks here and he has been lights out for them all season, not giving up many runs in his starts lately either. He will continue to pitch well here since this Padres offense hasn't been hitting well lately or all season and the Padres are also going with Darvish on the mound who hasn't been great. Darvish had a great season last year but has been giving up a ton of runs this season, even giving up 4 runs in his last start. The Diamondbacks have been starting to hit a lot better again and they will take advantage of any scoring opportunities they get while Kelly keeps them right in this game with a great outing. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game.

Diamondbacks Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 19, 2023 (8:40 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 7 Padres 2.

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Arizona Diamondbacks: 21-12 (+13 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10. 19-19 (+7.1 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 50-29 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 31-18 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125. 

San Diego Padres: 58-64 (-28.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 30-30 (-15 units) on the moneyline in home games. 34-21 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5. YU DARVISH is 8-4 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5. 

Arizona Diamondbacks:  L. Gurriel Jr. (LF) Ques Fri - Hip. M. Melancon (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder. Z. Davies (SP) Ques Sun - Back. E. Longoria (3B) Out indefinitely - Back. A. Adams (RP) out for season - Ankle. T. Henry (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Jameson (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.

San Diego Padres:  J. Choi (1B) Out indefinitely - Ribs. D. Carlton (RP) Late Aug - Elbow. J. Musgrove (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder. T. Hill (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. A. Jacob (SP) Mid Sept - Elbow. R. Knehr (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm.

“That was a pretty intense atmosphere. Our dugout erupted after that final strike was called. We were all really excited for him. It was a good moment for this team. This team is playing good baseball. To be honest, we're gassed. I know this group is very tired coming out of the altitude in Colorado. This was a fatigued team today that went out there and won a baseball game and that's what I'm most proud of." - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Padres in their game on Thursday.

“I kid with him that he’s a witch and he rides his broom around the bases and that's pretty much what happened there. When he takes off, everybody just gets nervous. Very rarely are you going to see that.” - Bob Melvin on Fernando Tatis Jr after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Wednesday.

Kyle Lewis (R) DH

Corbin Carroll (L) RF

Tommy Pham (R) LF

Christian Walker (R) 1B

Buddy Kennedy (R) 3B

Gabriel Moreno (R) C

Alek Thomas (L) CF

Nick Ahmed (R) SS

Geraldo Perdomo (S) 2B

Ha-Seong Kim (R) 3B

Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF

Juan Soto (L) LF

Manny Machado (R) DH

Xander Bogaerts (R) SS

Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B

Luis Campusano (R) C

Garrett Cooper (R) 1B

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Batting Average:  Dominic Fletcher (.301)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (122)

Home Runs:  Christian Walker (28)

RBI:  Christian Walker (82)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (37)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (13)

Saves:  Scott McGough (9)

ERA:  Kevin Ginkel (2.02)

Batting Average:  Luis Campusano (.305)

Hits:  Xander Bogaerts (119)

Home Runs:  Juan Soto (24)

RBI:  Juan Soto (75)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (27)

Wins:  Joe Musgrove (10)

Saves:  Josh Hader (27)

ERA:  Alek Jacob (0.00)

Managers:

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)

San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)