Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/07/2024

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Sunday, July 7, 2024

Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA

Where to Watch:  Roku

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +142, Padres -170; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +145, Padres -170; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +145, Padres -170; Over/Under:  8 runs

Arizona Diamondbacks:  43-45 (4th place, NL West)

San Diego Padres:  49-43 (2nd place, NL West)

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Arizona Diamondbacks:  5-5 last 10

San Diego Padres:  8-2 last 10

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-45 record overall and have a road record of 21-24. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Padres on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Diamondbacks lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Brandon Pfaadt is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Ryne Nelson is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-6 with a 5.42 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Padres are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-43 record overall and have a home record of 25-22. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Padres won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .739 OPS. Matt Waldron is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Dylan Cease is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-7 with a 4.24 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 8 hits through 3.2 innings played against the Texas Rangers.

The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks haven't looked great in their games this season with their 43-45 record overall and their 21-24 road record which has them near the bottom of the division, but they aren't too many games behind the Padres coming into this series. Meanwhile, the Padres have looked a lot better lately with their 49-43 record overall which is putting them back in the Wild Card race, and they have been getting better at home with their 25-22 home record. They have been a lot hotter than the Diamondbacks have been coming into this series, going 8-2 in their last 10 games. They also have the better pitching matchup here with Cease on the mound. Cease is 7-7 with a 4.24 ERA this year and he is coming off a terrible start which he gave up 6 earned runs in, but he has looked good in a lot of his starts this season so he will be looking to bounce back in this one. The team has also been having success with him, winning 2 of the last 3 games he started in. The Diamondbacks are going with Nelson in this one and he hasn't looked great this year. He is 5-6 with a 5.42 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year, and he hasn't looked as good in his road starts either. The Padres have been the much hotter team lately as they are putting up runs and Cease will bounce back to help the Padres get another win here, pulling themselves back in the playoff race. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game.

Diamondbacks Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 7, 2024 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Padres 7 Diamondbacks 4.

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Arizona Diamondbacks: 42-45 (-7 units) on the moneyline in their last 87 games. 36-44 (-13.90 units) on the runline in their last 80 games. 18-8 to the over in their last 26 games. 

San Diego Padres: 12-4 (+8.60 units) on the moneyline in their last 16 games. 34-27 (+7.95 units) on the runline in their last 61 games. 12-3 to the over in their last 15 home games. 

Arizona Diamondbacks:  G. Moreno (C) - Thumb. M. Walston (SP) - Elbow. Z. Gallen (SP) - Hamstring. K. Kelly (SP) - Shoulder. K. Nelson (RP) - Shoulder. M. Castro (RP) - Shoulder. A. Thomas (CF) - Hamstring. E. Rodriguez (SP) - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) - Elbow.

San Diego Padres:  F. Tatis Jr. (RF) - Quad. L. Campusano (C) - Thumb. J. Musgrove (SP) - Elbow. Y. Darvish (SP) - Groin. X. Bogaerts (2B) - Shoulder. L. Patino (SP) - Elbow. G. Otto (RP) - Shoulder.

"My overall goal is to pitch six innings-plus every time I go out there. I think being aggressive, getting ahead with first-pitch strikes, if I'm doing that, then I can go deeper in the games." - Brandon Pfaadt after their loss against the Padres in their game on Friday.

“This team is built that way. We're going to fight." - Manny Machado after their win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Friday.

C Carroll (L) RF

K Marte (S) 2B

J Pederson (L) DH

C Walker (R) 1B

L Gurriel Jr. (R) LF

G Moreno (R) C

E Suárez (R) 3B

A Thomas (L) CF

G Perdomo (S) SS

L Arraez (L) 1B

J Profar (S) LF

J Cronenworth (L) 2B

M Machado (R) 3B

D Solano (R) DH

J Merrill (L) CF

D Peralta (L) RF

H Kim (R) SS

K Higashioka (R) C

Batting Average:  Randal Grichuk (.292)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (95)

Home Runs:  Christian Walker (22)

RBI:  Christian Walker (62)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (15)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (6)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (11)

ERA:  Justin Martinez (1.54)

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.333)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (98)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (14)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (57)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (17)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (7)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (22)

ERA:  Logan Gillaspie (0.00)

Managers:

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)