Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/06/2024

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Saturday, July 6, 2024

Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA

Where to Watch:  ARID

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +105, Padres -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +105, Padres -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +105, Padres -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Arizona Diamondbacks:  43-44 (3rd place, NL West)

San Diego Padres:  48-43 (2nd place, NL West)

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Arizona Diamondbacks:  5-5 last 10

San Diego Padres:  7-3 last 10

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-44 record overall and have a road record of 21-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .731 OPS. Slade Cecconi is their starting pitcher on Friday while Brandon Pfaadt is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-6 with a 4.28 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 8 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Oakland Athletics.

The Padres are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-43 record overall and have a home record of 24-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .733 OPS. Randy Vásquez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Matt Waldron is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-7 with a 3.56 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 6 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Boston Red Sox.

The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks haven't looked great in their games this season with their 43-44 record overall and their 21-23 road record which has them near the bottom of the division, but they aren't too many games behind the Padres coming into this series. Meanwhile, the Padres have looked a lot better lately with their 48-43 record overall which is putting them back in the Wild Card race, but they have still been worse at home this year with their 24-22 home record. They have been hot lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games, but the pitching matchup in this game favors the Diamondbacks more. The Padres have Waldron on the mound here and he has been the better starter this year with his 3.56 ERA, but he is only 5-7 this season and also gave up 3 earned runs in his last start as he has been giving up more runs lately. The Diamondbacks will have Pfaadt on the mound here and he is 3-6 with a 4.28 ERA, but he is coming off a start in which he gave up just 1 run and has looked a lot better in his starts lately. The Diamondbacks are also going to have some momentum here from a series win against the Dodgers in their last one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game. 

Diamondbacks Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 6, 2024 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 5 Padres 2.

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Arizona Diamondbacks: 41-45 (-13.20 units) on the moneyline in their last 86 games. 35-44 (-14.90 units) on the runline in their last 79 games. 22-10 to the over in their last 32 games. 

San Diego Padres: 12-3 (+9.95 units) on the moneyline in their last 15 games. 34-26 (+8.95 units) on the runline in their last 60 games. 12-2 to the over in their last 14 home games. 

Arizona Diamondbacks:  G. Moreno (C) - Thumb. M. Walston (SP) - Elbow. Z. Gallen (SP) - Hamstring. K. Kelly (SP) - Shoulder. K. Nelson (RP) - Shoulder. M. Castro (RP) - Shoulder. A. Thomas (CF) - Hamstring. E. Rodriguez (SP) - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) - Elbow.

San Diego Padres:  F. Tatis Jr. (RF) - Quad. L. Campusano (C) - Thumb. J. Musgrove (SP) - Elbow. Y. Darvish (SP) - Groin. X. Bogaerts (2B) - Shoulder. L. Patino (SP) - Elbow. G. Otto (RP) - Shoulder.

“When you get booed it means you’re probably doing something good that they don’t like.” - Joc Pederson after their win against the LA Dodgers in their game on Thursday.

“Nice, accurate throw. Boom, one-hopper, nails it, holds the momentum there. Nice job on both sides of the ball for us.” - Mike Shildt after his team’s win against the Rangers in their game on Thursday.

C Carroll (L) RF

K Marte (S) 2B

J Pederson (L) DH

C Walker (R) 1B

L Gurriel Jr. (R) LF

G Moreno (R) C

E Suárez (R) 3B

A Thomas (L) CF

G Perdomo (S) SS

L Arraez (L) 1B

J Profar (S) LF

J Merrill (L) CF

M Machado (R) 3B

D Solano (R) DH

D Peralta (L) RF

H Kim (R) SS

B Sullivan (L) C

T Wade (L) 2B

Batting Average:  Ketel Marte (.288)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (95)

Home Runs:  Christian Walker (22)

RBI:  Christian Walker (62)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (15)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (6)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (11)

ERA:  Justin Martinez (1.54)

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.333)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (97)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (14)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (56)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (17)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (7)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (22)

ERA:  Logan Gillaspie (0.00)

Managers:

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)