by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Jun 06, 2024
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Friday, June 7, 2024
Venue: Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA
Where to Watch: ARID
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: D-Backs +102, Padres -122; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: D-Backs +105, Padres -125; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: D-Backs +105, Padres -125; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Season Record
Arizona Diamondbacks: 29-33 (4th place, NL West)
San Diego Padres: 32-33 (2nd place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks: 4-6 last 10
San Diego Padres: 5-5 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis
The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 29-33 record overall and have a road record of 14-17. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Padres on Friday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .705 OPS. Slade Cecconi is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Brandon Pfaadt is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 2-4 with a 4.32 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 8 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the New York Mets.
The Padres are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 32-33 record overall and have a home record of 13-19. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Diamondbacks on Friday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .712 OPS. Randy Vásquez is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Michael King is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-4 with a 3.82 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 7 innings played against the Kansas City Royals.
Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction
The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres haven't looked good in their games this season with their 32-33 record overall and their 13-19 home record, but that still has them in 2nd place of the NL West. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks haven't looked that great either with their 29-33 record overall and their 14-17 road record which has them in 4th place of the NL West. Neither team has been great on offense this season either so the pitching matchup is going to be important here, and the Padres do have the better pitching matchup for this game. King is up for the Padres and he is 4-4 with a 3.82 ERA this year. He gave up 1 earned run in his last start and has been really reliable on the mound for the Padres this season, his team winning 2 of their last 3 games with him starting too. The Diamondbacks are going with Pfaadt in this game and he hasn't been bad this season, but he is still 2-4 with a 4.32 ERA and has been giving up more runs in his starts. He is also coming off a start in which he allowed 4 earned runs and he didn't have a great season last year either, still being a really young starter in this league. The Padres have been struggling lately but they are back at home here and have a chance to snap out of their funk with this pitching matchup in their favor. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game.
Diamondbacks Padres Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 7, 2024 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Padres 4 Diamondbacks 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks: 197-206 (+9.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 68-84 (+13.6 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 96-107 (+11 units) on the moneyline in road games. 23-13 UNDER against right-handed starters. BRANDON PFAADT is 24-9 UNDER in all games and 14-5 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher.
San Diego Padres: 209-192 (-37.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 151-123 (-39.6 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 102-94 (-36.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. 23-17 UNDER in night games. 4-1 UNDER in June games. MICHAEL KING is 5-2 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125.
Key Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks: Z. Gallen (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Thomas (CF) Late May - Hamstring. G. Perdomo (SS) Late May - Knee. K. Nelson (RP) out for season - Shoulder. M. Kelly (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. E. Rodriguez (SP) Early June - Shoulder. M. Castro (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Frias (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) out for season - Elbow.
San Diego Padres: Y. Darvish (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Patino (SP) out for season - Elbow. X. Bogaerts (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. G. Otto (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“Another stinker. It just unraveled in the third inning. It's hard to see any positives right now.” - Jordan Montgomery after their loss against the Giants in their game on Wednesday.
“Tough series. I’m not going to kid you. Start of the trip, we get two wins and then can't pick up another one. I mean, today, another unusual game. Two swings got us, but they were two big swings.” - Mike Shildt after his team’s loss against the LA Angels in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Arizona Diamondbacks
Corbin Carroll (L) CF
Blaze Alexander (R) 2B
Joc Pederson (L) DH
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Pavin Smith (L) 1B
Eugenio Suárez (R) 3B
Jake McCarthy (L) RF
Kevin Newman (R) SS
Tucker Barnhart (L) C
San Diego Padres
Luis Arraez (L) 1B
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
David Peralta (L) DH
Jackson Merrill (L) CF
Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS
Luis Campusano (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average: Blaze Alexander (.300)
Hits: Ketel Marte (67)
Home Runs: Ketel Marte (12)
RBI: Christian Walker (38)
Stolen Bases: Corbin Carroll (9)
Wins: Zac Gallen (5)
Saves: Paul Sewald (6)
ERA: Justin Martinez (0.42)
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Luis Arraez (.381)
Hits: Jurickson Profar (71)
Home Runs: Fernando Tatis (10)
RBI: Jake Cronenworth (39)
Stolen Bases: Ha-Seong Kim (13)
Wins: Dylan Cease (5)
Saves: Robert Suarez (17)
ERA: Logan Gillaspie (0.00)
Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)
San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
