Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/06/2024

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jun 05, 2024
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Thursday, June 6, 2024
Venue:  Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA 
Where to Watch:  ARID


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +110, Padres -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +110, Padres -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +110, Padres -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Arizona Diamondbacks:  29-32 (3rd place, NL West)
San Diego Padres:  32-32 (2nd place, NL West)

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Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks:  5-5 last 10
San Diego Padres:  5-5 last 10



Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis


The Diamondbacks split their 4-game series against the New York Mets 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 29-32 record overall and have a road record of 14-17. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Padres on Thursday with the series finale of their series against the San Francisco Giants still to be played on Wednesday. The Diamondbacks won the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Monday and Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .705 OPS. Jordan Montgomery is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Slade Cecconi is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-4 with a 5.59 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 4.2 IP against the New York Mets.

The Padres won their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 32-32 record overall and have a home record of 13-19. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Diamondbacks on Thursday with the 3rd game of their series against the Los Angeles Angels still to be played on Wednesday. The Padres lost their series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Monday and Tuesday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Dylan Cease is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Randy Vásquez is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-3 with a 5.74 ERA this season. His team lost 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5 innings played against the Kansas City Royals.


Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction

The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks haven't looked great in their games this season with their 29-32 record overall and their 14-17 road record, but this is still the team that went to the World Series last year and they have looked a lot better in their games lately. They are starting to get hot again as they are coming off a series win in their last one too. Meanwhile, the Padres haven't looked great in their games this season either, they are ahead of the Diamondbacks in the standings but not by much with their 32-32 record overall. The Padres have also been terrible in their home games this year with their 12-19 home record which means they have been better in their road games this season. The Padres are going with Cease on the mound in this game but he is 1-3 with a 5.74 ERA and he gave up 3 earned runs in his last start too. Cecconi is on the mound for the Diamondbacks here and he hasn't been any better this season with his 1-4 record and 5.59 ERA, but he only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and has looked a lot better in his starts lately. The Diamondbacks have been the hotter team coming into this one too while the Padres have been struggling to win games lately and have struggled at home all year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game.

Diamondbacks Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 6, 2024 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 5 Padres 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


Arizona Diamondbacks: 81-91 (+8.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 96-107 (+11 units) on the moneyline in road games. 69-60 (+11.1 units) on the moneyline after 3 or more consecutive home games. 24-12 UNDER after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings. 29-11 UNDER after allowing 9 runs or more. 23-13 UNDER against right-handed starters.

San Diego Padres: 18-19 (-10.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 13-19 (-12.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 4-7 (-6 units) on the moneyline after a loss by 2 runs or less. 9-4 UNDER after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games. RANDY VASQUEZ is 7-3 UNDER in all games and 4-0 UNDER after a loss.

Key Injuries


Arizona Diamondbacks:  Z. Gallen (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Thomas (CF) Late May - Hamstring. G. Perdomo (SS) Late May - Knee. K. Nelson (RP) out for season - Shoulder. M. Kelly (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. E. Rodriguez (SP) Early June - Shoulder. M. Castro (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Frias (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) out for season - Elbow.

San Diego Padres:  Y. Darvish (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Patino (SP) out for season - Elbow. X. Bogaerts (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. G. Otto (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Marcano (2B) Out indefinitely - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“This isn’t anything that is happening by luck — we’ve been working our butt off to make this moment happen. I think the guys are responding to all that extra work and all that extra time that they’re putting in, and we finally get those results. It feels pretty good.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Giants in their game on Tuesday.


“Mazur was fantastic. You can't ask for much more. Six pretty much clean innings, very efficient, overcame a couple of walks. Got in a jam. Made pitches when he had to.” - Mike Shildt after his team’s loss against the LA Angels in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Arizona Diamondbacks
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Gabriel Moreno (R) C
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Randal Grichuk (R) RF
Eugenio Suárez (R) 3B
Jake McCarthy (L) CF
Blaze Alexander (R) DH
Kevin Newman (R) SS

San Diego Padres
Luis Arraez (L) DH
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Donovan Solano (R) 1B
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS
Jackson Merrill (L) CF
Luis Campusano (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Joc Pederson (.296)
Hits:  Ketel Marte (67)
Home Runs:  Ketel Marte (12)
RBI:  Christian Walker (38)
Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (9)
Wins:  Zac Gallen (5)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (6)
ERA:  Justin Martinez (0.42)

San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.377)
Hits:  Jurickson Profar (71)
Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (10)
RBI:  Jake Cronenworth (39)
Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (13)
Wins:  Dylan Cease (5)
Saves:  Robert Suarez (17)
ERA:  Logan Gillaspie (0.00)

Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)
San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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