Game Time:  4:10 PM ET, Wednesday, June 22nd,  2022 

Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, California

Where to Watch: ESPN +, MLBN ALT

DraftKings: Moneyline: D-Backs +145, Padres -169; O/U 8

FanDuel: Moneyline:  D-Backs +150, Padres -179; O/U 7.5

PointsBet: Moneyline: 

Opening Lines: 

Padres: 43-27, 2nd place National League West

Diamondbacks: 32-38, 4th place National League West

Game 3 of this series is a happy day game.  Pretty San Diego weather.  The Padres are favored and the only hitch is the Diamondbacks are starting Madison Bumgarner who has some real skill if not all the numbers to back it up.   Let’s make a prediction, the game is only a few hours away so get your bets in fast! The Diamondbacks lost Game 1 and Game 2… Are you looking for a sweep?

A National League West matchup between class and trash.  The San Diego Padres have been pressing the Los Angeles Dodgers for first place in the NL West.  They actually have 1 more win than the Dodgers, but since they have played 3 more games… They have two more losses and are stuck a ½ game back in the standings.  The Diamondbacks are not the worst in the National League West despite their 5 games below .500 record as they have the Colorado Rockies below them.  The Rockies are a great team to get easy wins off of for everyone else in the NL West, but the Diamondbacks should want more than a 4th place finish.  A series against the Diamondbacks is juicy fun for the Padres… They really do envision getting a quick sweep to vault into first place.  A series against the Padres is a waking nightmare for the Diamondbacks as they really do envision someday not being junk. A three game series in San Diego!  Let’s check the numbers and make some money!

Home field advantage is a big deal in this matchup.  The Padres play well at home and the Diamondbacks play badly on the road.  The Padres offense is also a big deal as they recently “pelted” the Chicago Cubs 19-5.  When the Padres get going the bases get a lot of footprints.  In that game Manny Machado “MR 300 million” got his 1500th hit with a single and added a two run homer.  Hitters like Jake Cronenworth and Jurickson Profar are a plus for this line-up… all the while everyone is waiting for Fernando Tatis Jr to come back to form after a long injury stint to lead this team to the promised land.  Meanwhile the Diamondbacks have to rely on pitching… it is a must!  The Diamondbacks do not get the run support of the Padres by a longshot.  

The San Diego Padres have won 6 of their last ten games.  Their weakness has been the awful Colorado Rockies!  That is the problem with being a good team in a great Division.  They went 2-2 against the Colorado Rockies, 4-0 in a SWEEP of the Chicago Cubs and the 0-2 against the Colorado Rockies again.  To let the Colorado Rockies walk all over the Padres over the last ten games… literally destroyed the Padres chances at being in first place.  This is the problem with the Padres… great team, great hitting… OK pitching… and desperately waiting for focus and urgency from their entire roster.  

The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 5 of their last 10 games.  Going .500 over the occasional ten game stretch is literally what has kept this franchise as close as 10.5 games back.  It’s a long season… and maybe they can make some waves?  They went 2-0 against the Cincinnati Reds, 1-2 against the Philadelphia Phillies, 1-2 against the Cincinnati Reds, and 1-1 against the Minnesota Twins. The Diamondbacks got slapped by the Twins from a HUGE home run ball hit by the Twin's Gary Sanchez… A 456 foot doozy!   It led to a full crumple of the Diamondbacks spirit and an 11-1 win by the Twins.  This is a problem if the Diamondbacks expect to hold off the Padres.

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The Padres are 15th in scoring with 4.39 runs per game, 22nd in batting average with .234, 18th in OBP with .311.

The Diamondbacks are 22nd in scoring with 4.11 runs per game, 28th in batting average with .219, and 25th in OBP with .299.  They supply run support only in the rare instance that some else is having a bad game.  

The Padres pitchers are 5th in ERA with 3.31, 4th in WHIP with 1.13, and the fielders are ranked 1st in (best) in errors with only 21 on the season so far.

The Diamondback pitchers are 22nd in ERA with 4.19, 21st in WHIP with 1.32, and in fielding errors they are the pits with 25th and 45 on the season so far. IT gets hard to field a ball when they are always coming at you.

Our prediction for Wednesday June 22nd is… D-Backs 5 - Padres 4

Bet the D-Backs and the Over.  If you followed my advice you would have two wins in a row in this series.  We step out of the box for a minute once we realize that the Padres rarely sweep… even teams like the Colorado Rockies have gotten a few off the Padres.  So with Bumgarner on the mound… Let’s see if the D-Backs can give us a full, real punch at least once.

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The D-Backs are 5 Over and 15 Under against division opponents.

The Padres are 3 Over and 10 Under as a home favorite as a -125 to -175.

Padres: LF W. Meyers (knee) Out ** SS Fernando Tatis Jr (wrist) Out ** M. Beaty (shoulder) Out

Diamondbacks: CF K. Marte (hamstring) Quest ** SS N. Ahmed (shoulder) OUT

D-Backs: LHP Madison Bumgarner, 3-6, 3.45 ERA, 48 strikeouts in 70 innings pitched.  1.32 WHIP.

Padres: RHP Mike Clevinger, 1-0, 3.79 ERA, 22 strikeouts in 19 innings pitched.  1.26 WHIP.  

Padres: LF Jurickson Profar, 2B Jake Cronenworth, 3B Manny Machado, DH Luke Voit, 1B Eric Hosmer, RF Nomar Mazara, C Jorge Alfaro, CF Trent Grisham, SS Ha-Seong Kim

Diamondbacks: C Carson Kelly, 3B Josh Rojas, LF Jordan Luplow, 1B Christain Walker, RF Daulton Varsho., DH Buddy Kennedy, CF Alek Thomas, 2B Jake Hager, SS Geraldo Perdermo 

Padres: Bob Melvin… Back form Covid and feeling fine

Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo.. Has to manage the Diamondbacks

 

Sunny.  70*, Humidity 59*.  Gentle ocean breezes at a slow 3 mph.  Perfect weather for a perfect place.  Good Morning San Diego! It will hit high 70’s at the height of the day but cool down at the first sight of sunset.  If you live in the midwest and happen to have a couple million dollars… What is wrong with you?