Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/04/2024

Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, August 4, 2024

Venue:  PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA 

Where to Watch:  Sportsnet PT

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +130, Pirates -155; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +130, Pirates -155; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +130, Pirates -155; Over/Under:  8 runs

Arizona Diamondbacks:  59-51 (2nd place, NL West)

Pittsburgh Pirates:  55-54 (3rd place, AL Central)

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Arizona Diamondbacks:  8-2 last 10

Pittsburgh Pirates:  5-5 last 10

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 59-51 record overall and have a road record of 28-26. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Diamondbacks won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .754 OPS. Jordan Montgomery is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Ryne Nelson is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 8-6 with a 4.53 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 9 Ks on 2 hits through 7 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Pirates are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-54 record overall and have a home record of 26-27. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Pirates lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .671 OPS. Mitch Keller is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Paul Skenes is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-1 with a 1.90 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Houston Astros.

The current betting odds have the Pirates listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pirates haven't looked great in their games this season, but they have finally brought themselves back over .500 with their 55-54 record overall, playing better lately. They are 26-27 in their home games this season, but they will have some momentum coming into this series off a series win against the Astros. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have looked good in their games this season with their 59-51 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL West and getting themselves back into the Wild Card race. They haven't looked as good in their road games though, going 28-26 in those this season. The Diamondbacks have been hot lately with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games, but this isn't going to be a game where they score runs easily like they have been doing lately. The Pirates are going to have their rookie stud Skenes on the mound in this one and he has been lights out this season. He is 6-1 with a 1.90 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs at all. He took his 1st loss of the season over a week ago, but he bounced back in his last start with a great performance, giving up 1 earned run in that game. The team has also been having a ton of success with him on the mound, winning 3 of their last 4 games with him starting, and they are going to bring their best effort for him on offense as they always do. The Diamondbacks are going with Nelson in this one and he is 8-6 with a 4.53 ERA. His team has had a ton of success with him lately, winning 5 games in a row with him starting, but he really hasn't looked that great. He gave up no runs in his last start but has been really up and down all season and he is going to struggle in this road game. The Pirates are going to put up some runs in this one while the Diamondbacks struggle to score with Skenes pitching lights out, the edge goes to the Pirates at home in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pirates to win this game.

Diamondbacks Pirates Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, August 4, 2024 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Pirates 6 Diamondbacks 2.

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Arizona Diamondbacks: 34-20 (+12.70 units) on the moneyline in their last 54 games. 16-5 (+11.05 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 21 away games. 32-17 to the over in their last 49 games.

Pittsburgh Pirates: 23-26 (-7.55 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 49 home games. 

Arizona Diamondbacks:  B. Jarvis (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. C. Walker (1B) Out indefinitely - Oblique. E. Rodriguez (SP) Mid Jul - Shoulder. B. Walston (SP) Late Aug - Elbow. M. Kelly (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) out for season - Elbow. K. Nelson (RP) out for season - Shoulder.

Pittsburgh Pirates:  J. Bae (CF) Ques Sat - Knee. J. Palacios (RF) Mid Aug - Hamstring. D. Jefferies (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Mlodzinski (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. N. Gonzales (2B) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Jones (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Borucki (RP) Out indefinitely - Wrist. D. Moreta (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Oviedo (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Rodriguez (C) out for season - Elbow.

“They’re fighters. They had every reason to feel sorry for themselves. They didn’t. They had every reason to shut down and they didn’t. They believed they were going to win this game even when things were looking very, very desperate.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Friday.

“Challenging first inning and was in the middle of the plate the whole inning. To come back and give us five-plus (innings) was huge for us with where we're at." - Derek Shelton after his team’s loss against the Diamondbacks in their game on Friday.

C Carroll (L) RF

K Marte (S) 2B

J Pederson (L) DH

J Bell (S) 1B

L Gurriel Jr. (R) LF

G Moreno (R) C

E Suárez (R) 3B

A Thomas (L) CF

G Perdomo (S) SS

A McCutchen (R) DH

B Reynolds (S) LF

O Cruz (L) SS

B De La Cruz (R) RF

R Tellez (L) 1B

J Bart (R) C

K Hayes (R) 3B

J Triolo (R) 2B

M Taylor (R) CF

Batting Average:  Josh Bell (.400)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (123)

Home Runs:  Ketel Marte (26)

RBI:  Ketel Marte (74)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (20)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (9)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (16)

ERA:  Dylan Floro (0.00)

Batting Average:  Bryan Reynolds (.286)

Hits:  Bryan Reynolds (121)

Home Runs:  Bryan Reynolds (18)

RBI:  Bryan Reynolds (63)

Stolen Bases:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (10)

Wins:  Mitch Keller (10)

Saves:  David Bednar (19)

ERA:  Jake Woodford (0.00)

Managers:

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)

Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (5th season)