Arizona Diamondbacks vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/06/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Aug 05, 2023
Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Sunday, August 6, 2023
Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  BSN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks -148, Twins +124; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks -148, Twins +124; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks -148, Twins +124; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Arizona Diamondbacks:  57-54 (3rd place, NL West)
Minnesota Twins:  57-54 (1st place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks:  3-7 last 10
Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10



Arizona Diamondbacks vs Minnesota Twins Preview and Analysis


The Diamondbacks are entering this series on a 3 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the San Francisco Giants 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-54 record overall and have a road record of 29-26. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Twins on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .745 OPS. Ryne Nelson is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Zac Gallen is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 11-5 with a 3.41 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Twins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-54 record overall and have a home record of 31-24. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .726 OPS. Kenta Maeda is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Dallas Keuchel is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. His team lost their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start which was last year in the 2022 season, he allowed 7 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits through 4.2 innings played against the Boston Red Sox and will now be making his season debut in this game.


Diamondbacks vs Twins Prediction

The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks haven't been great lately as they have been slipping down the standings in the NL West, now in 3rd place, but they still have a really good offense that will put up runs in this game and they also have the better pitching matchup. The Diamondbacks are going with their ace Gallen in this game and he has been really good in his starts all season. He gave up 3 runs in his last start but hasn't been giving up too many runs lately and he will be looking to bounce back with a better performance here. Meanwhile, the Twins are going with Dallas Keuchel in this game who will be making his 1st start of the season here. Keuchel has not had a team all season and for good reason since he was terrible last year and has been giving up a ton of runs in every start. The Twins are taking a chance on him here but this D-Backs team still has a really strong offense and they will get after Keuchel for a ton of runs in this game as their offense leads the way here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game. 

Diamondbacks Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, August 6, 2023 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 9 Twins 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


Arizona Diamondbacks: 57-54 (+6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-26 (+7.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 19-8 UNDER in an inter-league game. 24-15 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150.

Minnesota Twins: 57-54 (-10.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 9-20 (-9.4 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 18-10 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150. 33-19 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Key Injuries


Arizona Diamondbacks:  A. Adams (RP) out for season - Ankle. M. Melancon (RP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. T. Henry (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Jameson (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. E. Longoria (3B) Out indefinitely - Back. G. Moreno (C) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Z. Davies (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.

Minnesota Twins:  B. Buxton (DH) Out Indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Alcala (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. B. Stewart (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. R. Lewis (SS) Mid Aug - Oblique. A. Kirilloff (RF) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Miranda (3B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. De Leon (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“He’s such a perfectionist. He's disappointed. I knew it when I took him out of the game.” - Torey Lovullo on Merrill Kelly after his team’s loss against the Twins in their game on Friday.


“I felt like I should have gone six or seven innings. I felt like the home run was really the only one they kind of earned off me.” - Bailey Ober after their win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Arizona Diamondbacks
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Corbin Carroll (L) CF
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) DH
Emmanuel Rivera (R) 3B
Jake McCarthy (L) RF
Jose Herrera (S) C

Minnesota Twins
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Edouard Julien (L) 2B
Jorge Polanco (S) 3B
Max Kepler (L) RF
Matt Wallner (L) DH
Willi Castro (S) LF
Christian Vazquez (R) C
Joey Gallo (L) 1B
Michael A. Taylor (R) CF

Statistical Leaders


Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Dominic Fletcher (.301)
Hits:  Ketel Marte (115)
Home Runs:  Christian Walker (22)
RBI:  Christian Walker (68)
Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (34)
Wins:  Zac Gallen (11)
Saves:  Scott McGough (9)
ERA:  Kevin Ginkel (2.13)

Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Royce Lewis (.326)
Hits:  Carlos Correa (85)
Home Runs:  Joey Gallo (17)
RBI:  Carlos Correa (45)
Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (28)
Wins:  Joe Ryan (9)
Saves:  Jhoan Duran (20)
ERA:  Dylan Floro (0.00)

Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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