Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/21/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 20, 2023
Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Wednesday, June 21, 2023
Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI 
Where to Watch:  BSWI


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs -145, Brewers +125; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs -145, Brewers +125; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs -145, Brewers +125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Arizona Diamondbacks:  44-29 (1st place, NL West)
Milwaukee Brewers:  37-35 (2nd place, NL Central)

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Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks:  6-4 last 10
Milwaukee Brewers:  3-7 last 10



Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Analysis


The Diamondbacks are entering this game off of a win in their last game and won their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 44-29 record overall and have a road record of 21-11. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .771 OPS. Ryne Nelson is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Zac Gallen is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-2 with a 2.96 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits through 7 IP against the Cleveland Guardians.

The Brewers are entering this game off of a loss in their last game but completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates in their last series. They enter this game with a 37-35 record overall and have a home record of 21-17. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .679 OPS. Colin Rea is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Julio Teheran is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-2 with a 1.78 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 1 hit through 6 innings played against the Pittsburgh Pirates.


Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The D-Backs have been having a great season as they lead the NL West with the best record and they also have one of the best offenses in the league too. They have been playing a lot better lately and will be looking to beat up on a struggling Brewers team that hasn't been playing well in their games lately. The Brewers haven't had a good offense this season either and they are going to struggle to put up runs with Gallen on the mound for the D-Backs. Gallen has been one of their best starters all season as he has 8 wins and hasn't given up many runs in any of his starts. He is coming off another good start in his last one and he will have no problem shutting down the Brewers here who haven't been great on offense lately. Teheran is starting for the Brewers and he has been really good in his starts but as good as he has been pitching, the D-Backs will get to him for some runs and the Brewers just won't have enough offensive power to get through this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game.

Diamondbacks Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 21, 2023 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 5 Brewers 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Arizona Diamondbacks: 44-29 (+18 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-11 (+12.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. ZAC GALLEN is 11-5 UNDER against NL Central opponents and 10-5 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Milwaukee Brewers: 7-14 (-7.1 units) on the moneyline against NL West opponents. 17-21 (-12.3 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 9 to 9.5. 11-1 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5. JULIO TEHERAN is 16-9 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Key Injuries


Arizona Diamondbacks:  C. Sulser (RP) Late June - Shoulder. M. Melancon (RP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.

Milwaukee Brewers:  B. Sousa (SP) Late June - Shoulder. M. Bush (RP) Late June - Shoulder. J. Alexander (SP) Late June - Shoulder. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Taylor (CF) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. J. Wilson (RP) Mid July - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“We came in here ready to go, make some statements. When you get six runs off that type of quality starting pitcher, you know that your team is ready to go. I was very proud of them.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Brewers in their game on Monday.


“Just a couple of mistakes there in the first inning to a first-place team that can swing the bat.” - Corbin Burnes after their loss against the Diamondbacks in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Arizona Diamondbacks
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Corbin Carroll (L) LF
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) DH
Emmanuel Rivera (R) 3B
Gabriel Moreno (R) C
Alek Thomas (L) CF
Jake McCarthy (L) RF

Milwaukee Brewers
Christian Yelich (L) LF
Jesse Winker (L) DH
Willy Adames (R) SS
Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B
Owen Miller (R) 2B
Raimel Tapia (L) RF
Brian Anderson (R) 3B
Victor Caratini (S) C
Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Statistical Leaders


Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Emmanuel Rivera (.313)
Hits:  Corbin Carroll (76)
Home Runs:  Corbin Carroll (16)
RBI:  Christian Walker (49)
Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (19)
Wins:  Merrill Kelly (9)
Saves:  Andrew Chafin (8)
ERA:  Austin Adams (1.08)

Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)
Hits:  Christian Yelich (69)
Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (12)
RBI:  Brian Anderson (34)
Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (16)
Wins:  Freddy Peralta (5)
Saves:  Devin Williams (12)
ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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