by Rod Pearson
Sunday, Oct 08, 2023
Game Time: 9:07 pm ET, Monday, October 9, 2023
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: TBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: D-Backs +130, Dodgers -155; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: D-Backs +135, Dodgers -155; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: D-Backs +125, Dodgers -155; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Arizona Diamondbacks: 84-78 (2nd place, NL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 100-62 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks: 5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 6-4 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Diamondbacks are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their best 2 out of 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-0 in the NL Wild Card Round. They finished the regular season with an 84-78 record overall and had a road record of 41-40. This is the 2nd game of a best 3 out of 5 game series with the LA Dodgers on Monday for the NL Division Series and they won game 1 of this series on Saturday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .730 OPS. Merrill Kelly was their starting pitcher on Saturday while Zac Gallen is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 17-9 with a 3.47 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB playoff start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series of the regular season. They finished the regular season with a 100-62 record overall and had a home record of 53-28. This is the 2nd game of a best 3 out of 5 game series with the Diamondbacks on Monday for the NL Division Series and they lost game 1 of this series on Saturday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .795 OPS. Clayton Kershaw was their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Bobby Miller is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 11-4 with a 3.76 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 1 hit through 4 innings played against the San Francisco Giants.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers had one of the best records in the MLB all season along with one of the best offenses but they are entering this game trailing 1-0 in this series. They were terrible in game 1 as the Diamondbacks were all over them right from the start but the Dodgers still have a great lineup with one of the best offenses in the league and they will be looking to bounce back at home and even this series up before heading to Arizona for the next 2 games. They were derailed right from the start of that game as Kershaw was terrible but now rookie pitcher Miller is on the mound and he has been really good and consistent all year. The Diamondbacks have Gallen on the mound and he has been one of their aces all season as he has also been pitching really well, but Gallen did give up some runs to the Brewers in their last series and the Brewers don't have a great offense. The Dodgers will be coming to even this series and Gallen is going to have trouble keeping this lineup off the board in a game they need to win to avoid going on the road down 2-0 in the series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game.
Diamondbacks Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Monday, October 9, 2023 (9:07 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 6 Diamondbacks 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks: 87-78 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 27-26 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 or higher. ZAC GALLEN is 10-5 OVER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 and 7-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 48-30 (-8.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. BOBBY MILLER is 7-6 (-4.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 66-41 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 7-1 OVER when trailing in a playoff series. 22-9 OVER after allowing 9 runs or more.
Key Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks: J. McCarthy (RF) Out indefinitely - Oblique. M. Melancon (RP) out for season - Shoulder. T. Henry (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. Jameson (RP) out for season - Elbow. D. Fletcher (RF) out for season - Finger. A. Adams (RP) out for season - Ankle. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.
Los Angeles Dodgers: B. Treinen (RP) Mid Oct - Shoulder. D. Hudson (RP) Mid Oct - Knee. T. Cyr (RP) Mid Oct - Shoulder. J. Marisnick (CF) Mid Oct - Hamstring. Y. Almonte (RP) Prob Sat - Knee. G. Varland (SP) out for season - Knee. W. Buehler (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Urias (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. T. Gonsolin (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Feyereisen (RP) out for season - Shoulder. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“I just think this team was very focused. We talked about what our game plan was going to be, and I watched this group go out and execute it to a T.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the LA Dodgers in game 1 of this series on Saturday.
“We just never really had a chance to get to Kelly. He was attacking us and making us put the ball in play and we just couldn’t do it.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Diamondbacks in game 1 of this series on Saturday.
Starting Lineups
Arizona Diamondbacks
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Corbin Carroll (L) RF
Tommy Pham (R) DH
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Gabriel Moreno (R) C
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Alek Thomas (L) CF
Evan Longoria (R) 3B
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) 2B
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
Max Muncy (L) 3B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Jason Heyward (L) RF
David Peralta (L) LF
James Outman (L) CF
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Statistical Leaders
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average: Seby Zavala (.357)
Hits: Corbin Carroll (161)
Home Runs: Christian Walker (33)
RBI: Christian Walker (103)
Stolen Bases: Corbin Carroll (54)
Wins: Zac Gallen (17)
Saves: Paul Sewald (13)
ERA: Peter Strzelecki (0.00)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Jake Marisnick (.400)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (211)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (39)
RBI: Mookie Betts (107)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (23)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (13)
Saves: Evan Phillips (24)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
