by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Sunday, May 15, 2022
Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Monday, May 16, 2022
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: D-backs +195, Dodgers -240; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: D-backs +210, Dodgers -250; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: D-backs +190, Dodgers -250; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Arizona Diamondbacks: 18-16 (4th place, NL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 20-12 (1st place, NL West)
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks: 7-3 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 5-5 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis
The Diamondbacks are coming into this game with a 18-16 record overall and they are 8-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 4-game series with the Dodgers on Monday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Chicago Cubs still to be played on Sunday. Humberto Castellanos is the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while Madison Bumgarner is on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 2-1 with a 1.78 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits in 6.1 IP against the Miami Marlins. They scored 16 runs in their last series averaging just over 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 17 runs against them averaging just under 6 runs allowed per game.
Los Angeles Dodgers Analysis
The Dodgers are coming into this game with a 20-12 record overall and they are 10-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 4-game series with the Diamondbacks on Monday night. This will be the 1st game of the series on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Philadelphia Phillies still to be played on Sunday. Michael Grove is the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while Tony Gonsolin is on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 3-0 with a 1.33 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 5 strikeouts on 1 hit in 5 innings played against the Pittsburgh Pirates. They scored 15 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction
The Dodgers are coming into this game in the middle of a very bad slump as they just lost their last 2 series, one was against the Pirates and the other was a 4-game series against the Phillies which they lost at home. Both of those series losses were embarrassing for a team like the Dodgers and they are just too good to keep losing games like this. They will find a way to bounce back in this series and they have Gonsolin on the mound here who has a very good ERA this season and has pitched great in all of their games so far. The Dodgers will get a win here to try and shake off their last few losses and start this series off on the right foot. They are going up against a Diamondbacks team that was playing very well but has recently lost a lot of steam in their last series and has come back down to Earth now. The best bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game on the runline.
Diamondbacks Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Monday, May 16, 2022 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 4 Diamondbacks 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks: 95-162 (-41 Units) ML in all games. 37-88 (-33.6 Units) ML in road games. 16-7 OVER after 3 or more consecutive unders.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 189-96 (+19.4 Units) ML in all games. 96-39 (+16.4 Units) ML in home games. 21-15 OVER with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent.
Key Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks: C. Kelly (C) Late May - Oblique. J. Wendelken (RP) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. S. Poppen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
Los Angeles Dodgers: C. Kershaw (SP) Late May - Pelvis. J. Nelson (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Duffy (SP) Early July - Hand.
Notable Quotes
"The bottom line is he's got to execute at a higher level no matter what. If it's a tie game or not, he's got to command the cutter." - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Cubs on Saturday.
"The last four games we haven't executed like we are capable of doing. When you take a team that those guys who are swinging hot bats and you don't make good pitches, they are going to make you pay." - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Phillies on Saturday.
Starting Lineups
Arizona Diamondbacks
Daulton Varsho (L) DH
Pavin Smith (L) RF
David Peralta (L) LF
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Josh Rojas (L) 3B
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Alek Thomas (L) CF
Nick Ahmed (R) SS
Jose Herrera (S) C
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) RF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Trea Turner (R) SS
Will Smith (R) DH
Justin Turner (R) 3B
Chris Taylor (R) LF
Cody Bellinger (L) CF
Hanser Alberto (R) 2B
Austin Barnes (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average: Alek Thomas (.438)
Hits: Daulton Varsho (28)
Home Runs: Christian Walker (6)
RBI: Daulton Varsho (15)
Stolen Bases: Daulton Varsho (3)
Wins: Merrill Kelly (3)
Saves: Mark Melancon (7)
ERA: Kyle Nelson (0.00)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Freddie Freeman (.303)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (36)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (6)
RBI: Justin Turner (23)
Stolen Bases: Trea Turner (5)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (4)
Saves: Craig Kimbrel (5)
ERA: Andrew Heaney (0.00)
Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (6th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (7th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
