by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Monday, May 16, 2022
Game Time: 3:10 pm ET, Tuesday, May 17, 2022
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: Sportsnet LA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: D-backs +160, Dodgers -190; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: D-backs +170, Dodgers -200; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: D-backs +165, Dodgers -200; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Arizona Diamondbacks: 18-17 (4th place, NL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 21-12 (1st place, NL West)
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks: 6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 5-5 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis
The Diamondbacks are coming into this game with a 18-17 record overall and they are 8-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Dodgers on Tuesday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Madison Bumgarner is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while Merrill Kelly is on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 3-1 with a 1.71 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 7 hits in 5 IP against the Miami Marlins. They scored 8 runs in their last series averaging just under 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging just over 3 runs allowed per game.
Los Angeles Dodgers Analysis
The Dodgers are coming into this game with a 21-12 record overall and they are 11-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 4 game losing streak that they were on. They just lost their 4-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 3-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Diamondbacks on Tuesday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Tony Gonsolin is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while there is no probable pitcher yet on the mound for them here on Tuesday. They scored 25 runs in their last series averaging just over 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 33 runs against them averaging just over 8 runs allowed per game.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction
The Diamondbacks are coming into this game off of a series loss in their last one but they have been playing well in their games recently and have been picking up a lot of wins. They have Merill Kelly starting here and he has been a stud for them all season, rarely allowing runs in the games he starts. He will keep the lineup at bay here and will make sure this stays low scoring giving his team a chance to win this game. They are going up against a Dodgers team that has been in a bad slump recently and has lost their last 3 straight series now. The pitching has been awful for the Dodgers and even though they have still been hitting the ball well and scoring a lot of runs, this is a game they will struggle to do that in and if their pitching lets them down again that they will not have a shot to win. The D-backs already beat the Dodgers in their series earlier this season and they have been playing much better recently since that series. They will make this game hard for the Dodgers to hit with Kelly pitching and they will take advantage of the bad pitching from the Dodgers recently. The best bet in this game is on the Diamondbacks to win here.
Diamondbacks Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, May 17, 2022 (3:10 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 4 Dodgers 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks: 95-162 (-41 Units) ML in all games. 37-88 (-33.6 Units) ML in road games. 22-12 UNDER in all games.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 189-96 (+19.4 Units) ML in all games. 96-39 (+16.4 Units) ML in home games. 8-3 UNDER against division opponents.
Key Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks: C. Kelly (C) Late May - Oblique. J. Wendelken (RP) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. S. Poppen (RP) Ques Mon - Shoulder.
Los Angeles Dodgers: C. Kershaw (SP) Late May - Pelvis. J. Nelson (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Duffy (SP) Early July - Hand.
Notable Quotes
"I felt David did a great job. He hit a 107 mile an hour line drive groundball right to the second baseman. We just have to keep plowing. We're going to cut you 100 times to win a baseball game." - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Cubs on Sunday.
"I'm sure (the error) was on Gavin's mind all day long. I don't want to say it's the biggest win of the year with a short sample, but it's a big one. Guys are feeling real good right now." - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Phillies on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cooper Hummel (A) LF
Jordan Luplow (D) RF
Ketel Marte (A) 2B
Christian Walker (D) 1B
Pavin Smith (Z) DH
Daulton Varsho (Z) C
Nick Ahmed (D) SS
Josh Rojas (Z) 3B
Alek Thomas (Z) CF
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (D) RF
Freddie Freeman (Z) 1B
Trea Turner (D) SS
Will Smith (D) C
Max Muncy (Z) 3B
Justin Turner (D) DH
Cody Bellinger (Z) CF
Chris Taylor (D) LF
Gavin Lux (Z) 2B
Statistical Leaders
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average: Alek Thomas (.368)
Hits: Daulton Varsho (29)
Home Runs: Christian Walker (6)
RBI: Daulton Varsho (16)
Stolen Bases: Daulton Varsho (3)
Wins: Merrill Kelly (3)
Saves: Mark Melancon (7)
ERA: Carson Kelly (0.00)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Freddie Freeman (.295)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (36)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (7)
RBI: Justin Turner (23)
Stolen Bases: Trea Turner (6)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (4)
Saves: Craig Kimbrel (5)
ERA: Andrew Heaney (0.00)
Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (6th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (7th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
