by Rod Pearson
Friday, Jun 30, 2023
Game Time: 10:07 pm ET, Saturday, July 1, 2023
Venue: Angel Stadium of Anaheim, Anaheim, CA
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: D-Backs +125, Angels -145; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: D-Backs +125, Angels -145; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: D-Backs +125, Angels -145; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Arizona Diamondbacks: 48-34 (1st place, NL West)
Los Angeles Angels: 44-39 (3rd place, AL West)
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Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks: 5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Angels: 4-6 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Angels Preview and Analysis
The Diamondbacks are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-34 record overall and have a road record of 24-14. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the LA Angels on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .768 OPS. Tommy Henry is their starting pitcher on Friday while Ryne Nelson is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-4 with a 4.97 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits through 7 IP against the San Francisco Giants.
The Angels are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and split their 4-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 44-39 record overall and have a home record of 22-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .781 OPS. Griffin Canning is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tyler Anderson is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-2 with a 5.54 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 9 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Colorado Rockies.
Diamondbacks vs Angels Prediction
The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks have been rolling this season with a really good offense and the best record in the NL West. They have been a better road team this year too and will be looking to spread the gap in the division with this series since the Dodgers and the Giants are both hot on their trail. The Angels have also been playing well in their games this season but after being so hot for so long, they have cooled off a bit over the last week and are not winning as many games now. The Diamondbacks are going to be looking to bounce back after losing a home series to the Rays, the best team in baseball right now, and they have the offense to get after Anderson in this game with how bad he has been this season. Anderson gave up 3 runs in his last start too and has been giving up quite a few runs in his starts this season. Meanwhile, the D-Backs are rolling out Nelson for this game and even though he had a rough start to the season, he has been pitching a lot better in his games lately, not giving up many runs at all. The D-Backs have a really good offense and will be able to take advantage of this pitching matchup while Nelson continues to pitch well against an Angels lineup that has been cooling off lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game.
Diamondbacks Angels Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 1, 2023 (10:07 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 7 Angels 4.
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MLB Betting Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks: 48-34 (+17 units) on the moneyline in all games. 24-14 (+12.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 11-6 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 20-9 OVER against AL West opponents.
Los Angeles Angels: 9-12 (-6.4 units) on the moneyline at home with a money line of -100 to -150. 3-7 (-7.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 10 or higher. 16-8 OVER when the total is 10 or higher. TYLER ANDERSON is 38-21 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10.
Key Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks: C. Carroll (LF) Ques Fri - Shoulder. M. Kelly (SP) Out indefinitely - Calf. C. Sulser (RP) Early July - Shoulder. M. Melancon (RP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.
Los Angeles Angels: G. Urshela (3B) out for season - Pelvis. M. Moore (RP) Early July - Oblique. A. Rendon (3B) Early July - Wrist. J. Suarez (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Z. Neto (SS) Early July - Oblique. B. Joyce (RP) Mid July - Hand. M. Stassi (C) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Warren (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Quijada (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. O'Hoppe (C) Late Aug - Shoulder. C. Rodriguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“It was a really weird feeling that I hadn't felt since the injury. It shook me up pretty good. They checked it out and I got the green light there, which is a huge weight off my shoulders.” - Corbin Carroll on his injury after their loss against the Rays in their game on Thursday.
“That was a pretty good pitch on the outer part of the plate. He wows you every day. It's fun to watch.” - Phil Nevin after his team’s loss against the White Sox in their game on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Arizona Diamondbacks
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Corbin Carroll (L) RF
Christian Walker (R) DH
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Evan Longoria (R) 3B
Pavin Smith (L) 1B
Gabriel Moreno (R) C
Alek Thomas (L) CF
Los Angeles Angels
Mickey Moniak (L) LF
Mike Trout (R) CF
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Brandon Drury (R) 2B
Mike Moustakas (L) 1B
Matt Thaiss (L) C
Hunter Renfroe (R) RF
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Andrew Velazquez (S) SS
Statistical Leaders
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average: Dominic Fletcher (.308)
Hits: Ketel Marte (85)
Home Runs: Corbin Carroll (17)
RBI: Christian Walker (54)
Stolen Bases: Corbin Carroll (24)
Wins: Zac Gallen (10)
Saves: Andrew Chafin (8)
ERA: Kyle Nelson (2.64)
Los Angeles Angels
Batting Average: Eduardo Escobar (.375)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (97)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (29)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (66)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (11)
Wins: Shohei Ohtani (7)
Saves: Carlos Estevez (20)
ERA: Matt Moore (1.44)
Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)
Los Angeles Angels: Phil Nevin (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
