Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/23/2023

Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, July 23, 2023

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Where to Watch:  BSOH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs -110, Reds -110; Over/Under:  11 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs -110, Reds -110; Over/Under:  11 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs -110, Reds -110; Over/Under:  11 runs

Arizona Diamondbacks:  54-44 (2nd place, NL West)

Cincinnati Reds:  53-46 (2nd place, NL Central)

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Arizona Diamondbacks:  4-6 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  4-6 last 10

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off of a loss but won their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-44 record overall and have a road record of 28-20. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Reds on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .756 OPS. Rookie pitcher Brandon Pfaadt is their starting pitcher on Saturday while José Ruiz is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 2-1 with a 5.48 ERA this season. His team lost 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB appearance, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 0 hits through 1 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.

The Reds are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and split their 4-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-46 record overall and have a home record of 26-26. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Rookie pitcher Brandon Williamson is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Luke Weaver is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 2-2 with a 7.22 ERA this season. His team won 8 of their last 9 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 2.2 innings played against the San Francisco Giants.

The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks have been slipping in their games lately but they have been a solid team all season with one of the best offenses in the MLB and they will be looking to climb the standings getting back into 1st place in the NL West. The Reds were playing really well before the All-Star break but they started to die down going into it and have come out just as cold as they haven't been great in their games. Their offense hasn't been as good lately which has been carrying their team in their wins and that will be a problem here when the Diamondbacks have one of the best offenses in the MLB and have been better on the road this season. The D-Backs also have the better pitching matchup since Weaver has been giving up a ton of runs in almost every start and he is going to give up runs against this hot D-Backs offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game.

Diamondbacks Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 23, 2023 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 8 Reds 4.

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Arizona Diamondbacks: 54-44 (+14.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 28-20 (+13 units) on the moneyline in road games. 10-6 OVER against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds: 198-225 (-9.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 103-111 (-14.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. LUKE WEAVER is 11-5 OVER in all games and 6-1 OVER in home games. 

Arizona Diamondbacks:  Z. Davies (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. A. Chafin (RP) Prob Sat - Personal. C. Sulser (RP) Late July - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. M. Kelly (SP) Late July - Calf. M. Melancon (RP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.

Cincinnati Reds:  L. Weaver (SP) Ques Sun - Elbow. K. Newman (2B) Out indefinitely - Stomach. V. Gutierrez (SP) Late July - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Late July - Elbow. R. Sanmartin (SP) Late July - Elbow. H. Greene (SP) Early Aug - Hip. J. Dunn (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“We were inefficient in a lot of different areas. Ton of things happened today. Straight fastballs to fastball hitters, one ends up getting clipped for a grand slam.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Reds in their game on Friday.

“It was a huge hit in the game. The most impressive thing (is) to be able to hit a fastball like that, when you’re down in the count. To hit a special fastball like that and have that kind of power to be able to drive the ball to the opposite field says a lot right there.” - David Bell after his team’s win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Friday.

Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS

Ketel Marte (S) 2B

Corbin Carroll (L) LF

Christian Walker (R) 1B

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) DH

Jake McCarthy (L) RF

Emmanuel Rivera (R) 3B

Gabriel Moreno (R) C

Alek Thomas (L) CF

Elly De La Cruz (S) 3B

Nick Senzel (R) CF

Matt McLain (R) SS

Spencer Steer (R) LF

Jonathan India (R) 2B

Joey Votto (L) 1B

Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) DH

Tyler Stephenson (R) C

Will Benson (L) RF

Batting Average:  Dominic Fletcher (.301)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (101)

Home Runs:  Christian Walker (20)

RBI:  Christian Walker (63)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (29)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (11)

Saves:  Andrew Chafin (8)

ERA:  Tyler Gilbert (1.80)

Batting Average:  Matt McLain (.301)

Hits:  Jonathan India (96)

Home Runs:  Spencer Steer (14)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (56)

Stolen Bases:  Elly De La Cruz (17)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (28)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Managers:

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)