Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/19/2023

Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Wednesday, July 19, 2023

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  BSSO

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +180, Braves -210; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +180, Braves -210; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +180, Braves -210; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

Arizona Diamondbacks:  52-42 (3rd place, NL West)

Atlanta Braves:  61-31 (1st place, NL East)

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Arizona Diamondbacks:  2-8 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10

The Diamondbacks are entering this series on a 4 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-42 record overall and have a road record of 26-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .751 OPS. Zach Davies is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Ryne Nelson is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-5 with a 4.98 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 9 hits through 5.2 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Braves are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-31 record overall and have a home record of 31-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .829 OPS. Bryce Elder is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Charlie Morton is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 10-6 with a 3.20 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 3 hits through 7 innings played against the Chicago White Sox.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have been rolling in their games lately as they are now 30 games over .500 and have the best record and the offense in the entire MLB. They haven't played great coming out of the All-Star break but they will be looking to bounce back here and should have no problem doing so against the Diamondbacks who have begun to regress now. The Diamondbacks still have a really good offense but their pitching hasn't been great lately and after leading the NL West for most of the season, they have slipped down to 3rd place now. The Braves are also going to have Morton starting in this game and he has been really consistent all season, not giving up many runs in his starts lately. The D-Backs offense has been good all season but even they have been putting up less runs in their games lately as they regress and they will struggle to put up runs against this really good Braves pitching staff. The D-Backs are also going with Nelson on the mound and he has been good in a lot of his road starts but he has been terrible at home and has had many starts this year where he gives up a ton of runs. The Braves have the best offense in the MLB right now and they have been putting up a ton of runs in their games lately, they will put up runs on the D-Backs here and put this game out of reach for them. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game and on the runline.

Diamondbacks Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 19, 2023 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 9 Diamondbacks 3.

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Arizona Diamondbacks: 80-126 (-18.3 units) on the moneyline in road games. 28-74 (-22.9 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +150 or more. 6-2 OVER as a road underdog of +150 or more. 

Atlanta Braves: 61-31 (+14.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 54-24 (+13.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 18-9 OVER as a favorite of -175 to -250. 28-19 OVER in home games.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  C. Sulser (RP) Late July - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. M. Kelly (SP) Late July - Calf. M. Melancon (RP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.

Atlanta Braves:  K. Allard (SP) day-to-day - Shoulder. E. Rosario (LF) Ques Tues - Hamstring. A. Minter (RP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. N. Anderson (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. E. Adrianza (2B) Late July - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Late July - Shin. M. Fried (SP) Early Aug - Forearm. D. Lee (SP) Late July - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“We’re not happy with what’s going on. We’re just not playing up to our capabilities.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.

“That was just kind of one of those that got away from us. Their pitching was pretty good. Their bullpen has got some nice arms in it. It was just a little too much to try to overcome today.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the White Sox in their game on Sunday.

Ketel Marte (S) 2B

Emmanuel Rivera (R) 3B

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF

Christian Walker (R) 1B

Evan Longoria (R) DH

Corbin Carroll (L) CF

Carson Kelly (R) C

Nick Ahmed (R) SS

Jake McCarthy (L) RF

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Sam Hilliard (L) LF

Batting Average:  Dominic Fletcher (.301)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (94)

Home Runs:  Corbin Carroll (18)

RBI:  Christian Walker (58)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (26)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (11)

Saves:  Andrew Chafin (8)

ERA:  Kevin Ginkel (2.27)

Batting Average:  Charlie Culberson (1.000)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (123)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (30)

RBI:  Matt Olson (77)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (43)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (11)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (16)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Managers:

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)