Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/18/2023

Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Tuesday, July 18, 2023

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  BSSO

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +170, Braves -200; Over/Under:  10 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +170, Braves -200; Over/Under:  10 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +170, Braves -200; Over/Under:  10 runs

Arizona Diamondbacks:  52-42 (3rd place, NL West)

Atlanta Braves:  61-31 (1st place, NL East)

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Arizona Diamondbacks:  2-8 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10

The Diamondbacks are entering this series on a 4 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-42 record overall and have a road record of 26-18. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Braves on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .751 OPS. Tommy Henry was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Zach Davies is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-5 with a 6.37 ERA this season. His team lost their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 4 hits through 5.1 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Braves are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-31 record overall and have a home record of 31-17. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .829 OPS. Kolby Allard was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Bryce Elder is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-2 with a 2.97 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 earned runs, 2 homers, and 4 BB with 0 strikeouts on 6 hits through 3.1 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves were really hot going into the All-Star break as they now have the best record in the entire MLB and the best offense too. They weren't great in their series over the weekend coming out of the break but they will be looking to bounce back at home here and get back on track as they try to put the NL East out of reach for every team. The Braves will have a nice bounce back spot here with Elder on the mound since he has been great in his starts all season and hasn't been giving up many runs at all lately. The Diamondbacks have had a great offense all year but they really cooled off with that All-Star break since they struggled to put up runs in Toronto over the weekend and they will struggle to put up runs here with how good Elder has been all year. The D-Backs also have Davies starting here and he has been terrible in his starts this season, giving up a ton of runs in a majority of his starts. The Braves weren't great in that 1st series back but they will bounce back with a better series here and their offense will have no problem putting up runs in this game to make it out of reach for the D-Backs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game and on the runline.

Diamondbacks Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 18, 2023 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 8 Diamondbacks 4.

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Arizona Diamondbacks: 21-37 (-12.1 units) on the moneyline after 2 straight games with no home runs. 28-74 (-22.9 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +150 or more. 6-2 OVER as a road underdog of +150 or more. 16-8 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite.

Atlanta Braves: 61-31 (+14.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 54-24 (+13.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 18-9 OVER as a favorite of -175 to -250. 28-19 OVER in home games.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  C. Sulser (RP) Late July - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. M. Kelly (SP) Late July - Calf. M. Melancon (RP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.

Atlanta Braves:  K. Allard (SP) Ques Tues - Shoulder. E. Rosario (LF) Ques Tues - Hamstring. A. Minter (RP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. N. Anderson (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. E. Adrianza (2B) Late July - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Late July - Shin. M. Fried (SP) Early Aug - Forearm. D. Lee (SP) Late July - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“We’re not happy with what’s going on. We’re just not playing up to our capabilities.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.

“That was just kind of one of those that got away from us. Their pitching was pretty good. Their bullpen has got some nice arms in it. It was just a little too much to try to overcome today.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the White Sox in their game on Sunday.

Ketel Marte (S) 2B

Emmanuel Rivera (R) 3B

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF

Christian Walker (R) 1B

Evan Longoria (R) DH

Corbin Carroll (L) CF

Carson Kelly (R) C

Nick Ahmed (R) SS

Jake McCarthy (L) RF

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Sam Hilliard (L) LF

Batting Average:  Dominic Fletcher (.301)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (94)

Home Runs:  Corbin Carroll (18)

RBI:  Christian Walker (58)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (26)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (11)

Saves:  Andrew Chafin (8)

ERA:  Kevin Ginkel (2.27)

Batting Average:  Charlie Culberson (1.000)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (123)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (30)

RBI:  Matt Olson (77)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (43)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (11)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (16)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Managers:

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)