by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 22, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 27, 2024
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Cardinals +3, Dolphins -3; Over/Under: 47.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Cardinals +3, Dolphins -3; Over/Under: 48 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Cardinals +3, Dolphins -3; Over/Under: 48 points
Season Record
Arizona Cardinals: 3-4 (2nd place, NFC West)
Miami Dolphins: 2-4 (2nd place, AFC East)
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Arizona Cardinals: won their last game at home against the Los Angeles Chargers 17-15.
Miami Dolphins: lost their last game on the road against the Indianapolis Colts 16-10.
Arizona Cardinals vs Miami Dolphins Preview and Analysis
The Cardinals are entering this game with a 3-4 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Los Angeles Chargers 17-15. Kyler Murray was the starting QB and he completed 14/26 passes for 145 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. James Conner led the team in rushing yards with 101. Trey McBride led the receivers with 51 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Max Melton led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Naquan Jones, Ben Stille, and Dante Stills each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Dolphins are entering this game with a 2-4 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 16-10. Tyler Huntley was the starting QB and he completed 7/13 passes for 87 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions before leaving injured and getting replaced by Tim Boyle who completed 8/13 passes for 74 yards. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 77. Jonnu Smith led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Jordan Poyer led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Cardinals vs Dolphins Prediction
The current betting odds have the Cardinals listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cardinals haven't looked great in their games this season with their 3-4 record overall, but they have looked a lot better lately. They are coming off a win against the Chargers in their last one and were able to squeak out a win against that good defense. Their defense has looked a lot better lately and their offense found ways to move the ball against a good defense in their last game. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-4 record overall and they have been dealing with a ton of injuries. They lost their starting QB a few weeks ago and have looked terrible in their games since losing him. Tua is eligible to come back for this game, but he is coming off a tough injury and will still have to get up to speed once he is back in this offense. The Dolphins haven't really been able to produce much offense without him and the run game hasn't been great with a banged up Achane too. The Cardinals have been really up and down on offense all season, but they have the more stable offense right now with the Dolphins in their current situation and they should be able to outscore the Dolphins here with the way both defenses have played all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cardinals to cover the spread in this game.
Cardinals Dolphins Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 27, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Cardinals 24 Dolphins 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Arizona Cardinals: 3-7 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 4-7 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 0-8 1H ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 16-10 OVER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 23-13 1H OVER as an underdog. 6-3 1H OVER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%).
Miami Dolphins: 9-4 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 4-1 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 12-6 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 7-2 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 rushing yards/game or more. 10-2 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 7-3 OVER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.
Key Injuries
Arizona Cardinals: T. Benson (RB) Questionable - Illness. Z. Jones (WR) Injured - Hamstring. K. Beachum (OL) Injured - Hamstring. K. White (LB) Questionable - Knee. S. Murphy-Bunting (CB) Questionable - Neck. E. Brown (OL) Injured - Ankle. R. Lopez (DL) Questionable - Ankle. M. Wilson (WR) Injured - Ankle. O. Pappoe (LB) Out - Hip. G. Williams (CB) Questionable - Groin. C. Jones (OL) Questionable - Ankle. I. Adams (OL) Injured - Thumb. M. Harrison (WR) Injured - Concussion. D. Robinson (DL) Out - Calf.
Miami Dolphins: O. Beckham (WR) Questionable - Hamstring. B. Ferguson (LS) Questionable - Personal. A. Jackson (OL) Questionable - Back. K. Lamm (T) Injured - Elbow. M. Kamara (LB) Injured - Ankle. E. Ogbah (LB) Questionable - Bicep. J. Poyer (SAF) Injured - Shin. C. Smith (CB) Questionable - Hamstring. D. Achane (RB) Injured - Concussion. S. Thompson (QB) Questionable - Ribs. D. Long (LB) Questionable - Knee. J. Holland (SAF) Doubtful - Hand. T. Armstead (T) Injured - Rest. C. Campbell (DT) Injured - Rest.
Notable Quotes
“It's a good feeling, just putting the ball in the end zone. Wish we could have done that more tonight, but a win's a win.” - Kyler Murray after their win against the LA Chargers in their last game.
“They were phenomenal all game. They’ve looked at their role in an expansive way. When you run the ball 40 times, it does minimize your opportunities.” - Mike McDaniel after his team’s loss against the Colts in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Arizona Cardinals
WR Wilson, Michael
WR Harrison Jr., Marvin
WR Dortch, Greg
TE McBride, Trey
QB Murray, Kyler
RB Conner, James
Miami Dolphins
WR Beckham Jr., Odell
WR Waddle, Jaylen
WR Hill, Tyreek
TE Smith, Jonnu
QB Tagovailoa, Tua
RB Achane, De'Von
FB Ingold, Alec
Statistical Leaders
Arizona Cardinals
Passing: K. Murray (1331)
Rushing: J. Conner (504)
Receiving: T. McBride (322)
Touchdowns: M. Harrison (4)
Miami Dolphins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (483)
Rushing: D. Achane (260)
Receiving: T. Hill (294)
Touchdowns: D. Achane (2)
Coaches:
Arizona Cardinals: Jonathan Gannon (2nd season)
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
