by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 27, 2023
Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 2, 2023
Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, AL
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: App State +6.5, Troy -6.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: App State +6.5, Troy -6.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: App State +6.5, Troy -6.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Season Record
Appalachian State Mountaineers: 8-4 (6-2) (2nd place, SBC East)
Troy Trojans: 10-2 (7-1) (1st place, SBC West)
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Recent Form
Appalachian State Mountaineers: won their last game at home against the Georgia Southern Eagles 55-27.
Troy Trojans: won their last game on the road against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles 35-17.
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Troy Trojans Preview and Analysis
Appalachian State is entering this game with an 8-4 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 3-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Georgia Southern 55-27. Joey Aguilar was the starting QB and he completed 23/36 passes for 296 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kanye Roberts led the team in rushing yards with 109 and 1 TD. Kaedin Robinson led the receivers with 108 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 2 TDs. Jordan Favors led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Michael Fletcher led the defense in sacks with 1. Tyrek Funderburk came away with 2 interceptions for them while Jordan Favors came away with 1 interception in that game.
Troy is entering this game with a 10-2 record overall and they have a 7-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Southern Mississippi 35-17. Gunnar Watson was the starting QB and he completed 21/34 passes for 289 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kimani Vidal led the team in rushing yards with 69 and 1 TD. Jabre Barber led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Malaki Pegues led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Malaki Pegues led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Appalachian State vs Troy Prediction
The current betting odds have Troy listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This game will be the Sun Belt Conference Championship between Appalachian State and Troy with Troy getting the home advantage in this game. Troy has looked really good all season with their 10-2 record overall and their 7-1 conference record. Their only loss in the conference was against James Madison who should be the team playing in this from the SBC East but they were not eligible to compete. Troy has looked great in their home games all season with their 5-1 home record and the defending champions from last season will be looking to hang onto their title at home. App State has also looked good this season with their 8-4 record overall and their 6-2 conference record but they were really not the best team in the East due to James Madison being ineligible and they don't really belong in this game. They have looked a lot better in their games lately, especially since they did beat JMU 2 weeks ago, but Troy is still the best team in the Sun Belt and they will defend their title in this home game. The best way to place a bet here is on Troy to cover the spread in this game.
Appalachian State Troy Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, December 2, 2023 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Troy 28 App State 13.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Appalachian State Mountaineers: 5-12 ATS off a home blowout win by 28 points or more. 2-11 ATS after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins. 7-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52. 10-5 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 12-2 UNDER after scoring 50 points or more last game.
Troy Trojans: 17-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 13-7 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 9-4 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 10-5 UNDER after playing their last game on the road. 6-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52.
Key Injuries
Appalachian State Mountaineers: R. Burger (QB) Early Dec - Finger.
Troy Trojans: J. Ingram (RB) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Bracy (S) Out indefinitely - Suspension.
Notable Quotes
"Outside of my family, this program means the world to me. We've earned the right to get there. When nobody else believed in us, we believed in ourselves. We just keep digging." - Shawn Clark on his team winning the Sun Belt East this season.
“What an effort to do that two years in a row (back-to-back 10-win seasons). Not our best effort today by any stretch of the imagination, but to have back-to-back 10-win seasons, that doesn’t come easy. We found a way to create momentum when we needed to get things going. Proud of our guys for being resilient, bringing their energy and finding a way to win.” - Jon Sumrall after his team’s win against USM in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Appalachian State Mountaineers
WR Robinson, Kaedin
WR Horn, Christan
WR Davis, Dashaun
TE Wilson, Eli
QB Aguilar, Joey
RB Noel, Nate
Troy Trojans
WR Lewis, Chris
WR Barber, Jabre
WR Stoudemire, Deshon
TE Ollendieck, Clayton
QB Watson, Gunnar
RB Vidal, Kimani
Statistical Leaders
Appalachian State Mountaineers
Passing: J. Aguilar (3268)
Rushing: N. Noel (820)
Receiving: K. Robinson (717)
Touchdowns: K. Robinson (10)
Troy Trojans
Passing: G. Watson (3136)
Rushing: K. Vidal (1350)
Receiving: J. Barber (850)
Touchdowns: K. Vidal (10)
Coaches:
Appalachian State Mountaineers: Shawn Clark (5th season)
Troy Trojans: Jon Sumrall (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
